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View Full Version : ULTIMATE POKER CHALLENGE DAY 1 REPORT by BLAIR RODMAN


Blair
12-06-2005, 09:20 PM
I write these reports for other sites. Thought someone might enjoy them here.


The 10k final of the UPC drew 55 players, just as it had in July. It lacked a little luster in the absence of many of the top Full Tilt players, who apparently hadn’t returned from Monte Carlo in time. However, the field was still very strong, a testament to the power of television, as this is one of the most watched poker shows.
I love the structure of this event. You start with 30k in chips, with blinds of 50-100 and 1 hour levels. Once they reached 5 tables, it was reduced to 7-handed, and kept that way throughout. Short-handed poker with good players leads to some great poker. A lot of the time in tournaments, especially in the modern era, the preponderance of bad players places a priority on taking advantage of mistakes, rather than playing high-level poker. There was a lot of great poker playing in this event, and I think most players enjoy it.
I arrived at my table to find Mark Seif to my left, as I had in the last WPT at the Bellagio. Having Mark to your left is not a good thing. To my right was Daniel Alaei, Kristy Gazes, Tom Franklin, and Amir Vahedi.
I started out playing aggressively, but was really out of synch. I wasn’t hitting any hands, and my bluffs weren’t working. At the first level, I raised in late position to 150 with KJ. Mark called. The flop came Q-T-4 rainbow. I checked, and Mark bet 300. I didn’t put him on a big hand, so I re-raised to 1500, figuring to pick it up there. He called quickly. The turn was blank. I made a big bet of 4000. Again he called quickly. The river missed me and I was done with it. We both checked and mark showed QJ offsuit. The man will not lay down a hand.
There was an empty seat at my table from the start. It was filled by Barry Greenstein. The game was really on now.
I continued to bleed chips and had soon lost half my stack. Barry opened a pot for 1000 at the 150-300 level. He got five callers, and I looked down at AA in the cutoff. I made it 8000, hoping Barry would figure me for making a move. He folded, but Todd Gierhan, an online qualifier called. The flop came 3 babies, I moved in and he called, showing QQ. My hand held up. All that struggling erased by one pair of aces. I need to try to get them more often.
Barry had about 12k when he raised again up front. I moved him in with KK, and he showed 99. I not only ko’d him and got up to over 50k, but he gave me a copy of his book as he does to every player who ko’s him in a tournament. Barry’s ok. He was replaced by Men the Master.
Tom Franklin had been playing very solidly, as he usually does. With the blinds 300/600/50 he opened up front for 2k. He had about 24k more, so I called with 77. The flop came 8-7-6 rainbow. He bet 2600. I made a raise to 7500, hoping he would think that I wouldn’t raise that much with a set and would move in with a big pair. Instead, he called. I was very surprised by the call. He obviously had something, and was pretty much committed to the pot, but why just call with a live board like that? The turn was a ten, and he moved in for about 16k. I replayed the hand in my mind, and it hit me what I was up against. Two 9’s! It was the only hand that made sense. The pot was laying me a little over 2-1, but I was over 3-1 to fill up. Losing the extra 16k would put me back to about 30k. The only other possibility was that he had an over pair, and had called determining to put the rest in on the turn, no mater what came. But I didn’t give him that play. This was one of the biggest laydowns I’ve ever made, but I was so sure I was right that I went with it.
Just before the break, I pick up AA again. As people were leaving the table before it’s their turn to act, something I think should be grounds for a penalty, Men raised to 2600 up front. I wasn’t giving him credit for a big hand, thinking he was using the old ‘raise when everybody’s leaving for break’ trick. I made it 7500, and he re-raised another 12000! I moved in for the rest of my chips, about 25k. He thought for about 5 minutes before folding. I overheard him later say he had jacks.
Near the end of the day, I was down to about 40k, playing 6-handed. I raised to 3k up front with 5c2c. Kristy called from the big blind. The flop came Kc-Tc-4h. Kristy checked, and I bet 7k. She called. I put her on a weak king, or maybe a draw. The turn was a blank. She checked, and I moved in for 30k. She thought a long time, and I couldn’t imagine a hand she could call with. She finally called, and showed me AK! There’s no way I could put her on that hand. I don’t t hink she was trying to, but she trapped me good. I was prepared to go home until the club came on the river. I got caught with my hand in the cookie jar, and came away with the cookies. About 80 thousand of them.
I lost a few chips, then picked up aces again! This had to be a record for me. I raised to 3k and Amir called. The flop came J-7-2. I bet 4k and he called. The turn came a 7. He checked, and I checked behind him. If he had a 7 I was beat, but if not there couldn’t be many cards that would give him a winner. The turn was a blank, and he bet 5k. I knew I should just call, but I couldn’t stop myself from raising to 11k. Big mistake. He immediately moved in. Damn! I had to fold. It was the wrong spot to try to get a small raise paid off.
I ended the day with about 66k. I hadn’t played especially well, but a few big hands and lucky breaks, and I was in good shape. Sometimes it goes that way.

SossMan
12-06-2005, 09:31 PM
awesome report.

MLG
12-06-2005, 09:33 PM
these are great. the more trip reports the better. That laydown with a set of 7s was insane.

mlagoo
12-06-2005, 09:35 PM
thanks a lot for posting these. very informative.

KneeCo
12-06-2005, 10:01 PM
[ QUOTE ]
these are great. the more trip reports the better. That laydown with a set of 7s was insane.

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Agreed. Thanks for the report.

Doesn't 99 CR that turn almost every time after how the flop played out?

usmfan
12-06-2005, 10:19 PM
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Doesn't 99 CR that turn almost every time after how the flop played out?

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Thinking the same thing.

TomHimself
12-06-2005, 10:38 PM
[ QUOTE ]
these are great. the more trip reports the better. That laydown with a set of 7s was insane.

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betgo
12-06-2005, 10:52 PM
[ QUOTE ]
these are great. the more trip reports the better. That laydown with a set of 7s was insane.

[/ QUOTE ]

You are getting 2-1 pot odds and you are a 3-1 dog if he has a straight (worse to a higher set). If there is some reasonable possibility your set is ahead, you have to call.

I am just a fish and don't playin tournaments like that, so maybe I don't understand the high level thinking.

12-06-2005, 11:28 PM
you're right, but he was saying there wasn't enough of a possibility that he had anything but 9s for him to call. Whether or not he was right, we'll never know, but that's all the high level thinking you need.

Exitonly
12-06-2005, 11:41 PM
i think i'm with you betgo, i think thats a call. he doesn't have to have a lower set or some wierd hand or bluff .

but again, blair would have a better feel for what he has.

ansky451
12-07-2005, 12:17 AM
Awesome report.


Oh, and to anyone trying to knock the 77 fold... jesus, give the guy some credit. I think he plays at high enough a level that he can make ridiculous laydowns.

Exitonly
12-07-2005, 12:19 AM
no one was really "knocking it" we mentione that he plays at a higher level and might have extraordinary reads.

But the reason to post hands it to create discussion, we don't have to like everything he does because *gasp* he plays at a high level. He makes mistakes too (as he admitted w/ his river raise w/ AA).

KramerTM
12-07-2005, 01:36 AM
Look, right or wrong, you had a strong read and you went with it, so props to you. That said, I think I am always calling all in in this spot mainly because if I am wrong, I will live to fight another day.

Awesome report... keep 'em coming!

Blair
12-07-2005, 02:15 AM
Experience in poker is a critical element in advanced play. For players with thousands of hours at the tables, sometimes the answer just comes to you, and you're not sure from where. In fact, I often try to blank my conscious mind and let my subconscious do the work, something known as soft focus. That's what happened with Tommy. I was a little confused, especially after his call on the flop. I expected him to either move in or fold. When he moved in so quickly on the turn when the ten hit, I suddenly got got this very strong intuition that he could have only had 9's. Then I worked it back in my head. The only hands he could have called a raise of that size on the flop were an over pair to the board, or a set. I might have given other players credit for other possibilities, but not him, especially considering he originally raised from the 1-hole. His range of hands for an early position raise , at least in my mind, was AK, maybe AQ, and a pair of 8's or higher. When he called my raise, I eliminated AK and AQ. If he'd had AA,KK,QQ or JJ, and chose to continue with the hand after my raise, he would have been comitted to the pot and would most likely have moved in there in case I was getting out of line with some weird drawing hand. That left TT,99 and 88, none of which I could beat. Nines made the most sense, because on the flop he would probably have moved in with a set of 8's, and either folded or moved in with tens. With 9's, had he missed the hand, he could still have gotten away from it with 16k to work with, if I moved in on the turn. And in fact, that's what he told me his thought process was when I asked him about the hand. He also told me that he moved in because he didn't want to give me a chance to check behind him and take a free card that could hurt him.

ansky451
12-07-2005, 06:11 AM
[ QUOTE ]
no one was really "knocking it" we mentione that he plays at a higher level and might have extraordinary reads.

But the reason to post hands it to create discussion, we don't have to like everything he does because *gasp* he plays at a high level. He makes mistakes too (as he admitted w/ his river raise w/ AA).

[/ QUOTE ]

meh, you win. /images/graemlins/frown.gif

betgo
12-07-2005, 10:05 AM
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
no one was really "knocking it" we mentione that he plays at a higher level and might have extraordinary reads.

But the reason to post hands it to create discussion, we don't have to like everything he does because *gasp* he plays at a high level. He makes mistakes too (as he admitted w/ his river raise w/ AA).

[/ QUOTE ]

meh, you win. /images/graemlins/frown.gif

[/ QUOTE ]

The problem I have with this is that you have to be right like 90% of the time with the pot odds you are getting. I just think this is being too cleaver. If the money was a little deeper, I can see going with this read.

I am sure he had a really strong read. Part of it is Blair Rodman's ability. However, part of it is the opponent. Obviously, he was playing a good player who was solid and predictable. Against an online qualifier or a loose player who liked to raise with suited connectors and such and represent whatever hit, it would be impossible to get such a read.