AJo from the SB ($22s)

Do you guys think Im ahead of his range???


#Game No : 3146138896
***** Hand History for Game 3146138896 *****
NL Texas Hold'em $20 Buy-in + $2 Entry Fee Trny:17995125 Level:4 Blinds(50/100) - Sunday, December 04, 21:24:04 EDT 2005
Table Table 67806 (Real Money)
Seat 7 is the button
Total number of players : 7
Seat 1: malanka ( $1370 )
Seat 2: lilslick1122 ( $745 )
Seat 4: andrewjem ( $1355 )
Seat 5: supercool841 ( $610 )
Seat 7: Cplus080 ( $960 )
Seat 8: castanza_g ( $1000 )
Seat 10: pauldelvista ( $1960 )
Trny:17995125 Level:4
Blinds(50/100)
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to castanza_g [ Jh Ah ]
malanka folds.
lilslick1122 folds.
andrewjem folds.
supercool841 is all-In [610]
Cplus080 folds.
castanza_g is all-In [950]

[bluefeet]

Very close IMO...marginal at best. Without a read, at this stage of the game, I don't see a compelling reason to take the gamble.

[liucipher]

Yay! SNGPT!!! Dunno if I'm using it correctly. Someone want to confirm?

Your hand vs. a ...
tight range (66+, ATs+, AJo+): -0.6%
average range (44+, A7s, A9o, KJs+): +0.8%
loose range (22+, A2s+, A3o, KTs+): +2.2%
maniacal range (22+, A2+, K2+, Q2s+): +3.0%

From his perspective: even at a loose calling range, he can push 32o and be +cEV (+0.4%).

Am I wrong?

<---------- so happy about getting SNGPT

[ QUOTE ]
Yay! SNGPT!!! Dunno if I'm using it correctly. Someone want to confirm?

Your hand vs. a ...
tight range (66+, ATs+, AJo+): -0.6%
average range (44+, A7s, A9o, KJs+): +0.8%
loose range (22+, A2s+, A3o, KTs+): +2.2%
maniacal range (22+, A2+, K2+, Q2s+): +3.0%

From his perspective: even at a loose calling range, he can push 32o and be +cEV (+0.4%).

Am I wrong?

<---------- so happy about getting SNGPT

[/ QUOTE ]

With Hero in the SB and villain in the CO, I get -1.4%, 0%, +1.5%, and +2.2%.

As for the call, I think it's probably marginal at best. Did villain push his SB into the medium stack on his left last time (that's likely to be way more +EV for him than most pushes from here into the big stack's BB). Moreover, pushing into a big stack's BB when big stack has you covered by better than 3x normally requires a real hand (of course, that's a reason to do it with trash if you're brave and think big stack is too weak...).

As a general rule, I think villain's hand is probably closer to the SNGPT tight range than the average one here, making it a fold (and that's without accounting for the chances of BB waking up with a hand).

[tigerite]

It's AJs not AJo? I think the call is great against the right opponents, and not so good against the wrong ones.

Really that simple..

[runner4life7]

in general, i would like to think you are ahead of his range, i make this move without a reason not to.

[fluorescenthippo]

well AQo is an instacall here and AJs isnt too far behind. looks like a call to me. AJo is closer though

[Shillx]

The nash eq here is ~29/17. So he should be pushing 29% of the time and you should be calling 17% of the time. Since he is unknown it is best to just use ideal strategy. Sure he might be pushing top 10%, but he might be pushing top 40%. You would expect to make about 2.2% of the pool by calling with AJs if he plays optimally.

[vqchuang]

how did u get 29 17?

[ QUOTE ]
It's AJs not AJo?

[/ QUOTE ]

My bad /images/graemlins/frown.gif