Newhizzle

[bambi]

Ok about three months ago i remember playing you at a 3/6 table, and now you are playing the 50/100 game.

Just wanted to say [censored] yeah well done, and maybe you could give us a run down of how the last few months have been, how many hands etc youve played at each level etc?

Anyway if you dont want thats cool, but well done.

[newhizzle]

hi bambi,

you might want to check this (http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/showflat.php?Cat=0&Number=4074157&an=0&page=0#Post 4074157) out

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and maybe you could give us a run down of how the last few months have been, how many hands etc youve played at each level etc?


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i basically went on a rediculous rush for about 2 months after the party split, when i was playing 3/6 3 months ago, i was actually recovering from a downswing i had after moving up past 10/20 before my roll could handle it

i actually only stayed at 5/10, 10/20, 15/30, and 20/40 few a few days each this time, so not really that many hands at those limits(i have a lot of 5/10 and 10/20 from before), i have been moving up at 300 BB and seem to be beating the 30 and 50 games so far, i got about probly 20,000 or so hands at each, i have about 4,000 hands at 100/200, but have been running bad in that game, so im just sticking with 30 and 50 now, finding the best games between them

to tell you the truth, i actually think a lot of the small and mid stakes posters are better players than me, but i feel that if i seclect my tables properly i can have an edge at any limit on party at least, as long as my opponents make more mistakes than i do, i should be able to beat the game, and after the rush i have the roll to back myself

anyway, thanks

[daryn]

yikes. after reading your story i'm convinced you could soon wind up in this (http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/showflat.php?Cat=0&Number=3824573&an=0&page=0#Post 3824573) thread

[DcifrThs]

[ QUOTE ]
yikes. after reading your story i'm convinced you could soon wind up in this (http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/showflat.php?Cat=0&Number=3824573&an=0&page=0#Post 3824573) thread

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seriously, 20,000 hands is nothing.

if you have a win rate of 2.00bb/100 at 50/100 right now and a 16bb/100hand standard deviation, your win rate could be between 4.217446 and -0.21745 bb/100 with a 95% confidence interval. if your win rate of 20,000 hands has been 1bb/100 hands and the same standard deviation, your win rate could be between 3.217446 and -1.21745 bb/100 with the same confidence interval.

so although you are doing well now, you may not be a winning player at those limits.

just putting it out there b/c daryn is right.

Barron

[tongni]

Wow, that's a crazy story. Keep running good. Just remember, bad things can happen to good players, and good things can happen to bad players. So be careful.

[newhizzle]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
yikes. after reading your story i'm convinced you could soon wind up in this (http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/showflat.php?Cat=0&Number=3824573&an=0&page=0#Post 3824573) thread

[/ QUOTE ]

seriously, 20,000 hands is nothing.

if you have a win rate of 2.00bb/100 at 50/100 right now and a 16bb/100hand standard deviation, your win rate could be between 4.217446 and -0.21745 bb/100 with a 95% confidence interval. if your win rate of 20,000 hands has been 1bb/100 hands and the same standard deviation, your win rate could be between 3.217446 and -1.21745 bb/100 with the same confidence interval.

so although you are doing well now, you may not be a winning player at those limits.

just putting it out there b/c daryn is right.

Barron

[/ QUOTE ]

thanks, but im already pretty much fully aware of the fact that i could just be running very well, i am prepared to move down if necessary.

i am very confident that i can beat a game like 10/20, and pretty confident that if i choose my tables correctly i can beat the bigger games as well.

the way i see it, as ive said, if i am adaquately bankrolled and my opponents make more mistakes than i do, i have an edge, and if i select my tables properly, my opponents will make more mistakes than i will.

if i end up dropping out of school, i will be working a lot harder on improving my game, so if i have just been lucky i can at least eventually beat these games.

so far i have not had enough time at these limits to play enough hands to find my true win-rate, but i am beating them so far and i really think that if i choose my tables right, i can beat them in the long-run, but i do appreciate your advise, ill keep you guys updated and let you know if i end up going busto.

[newhizzle]

[ QUOTE ]
yikes. after reading your story i'm convinced you could soon wind up in this (http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/showflat.php?Cat=0&Number=3824573&an=0&page=0#Post 3824573) thread

[/ QUOTE ]

wow! so you consider me a superstar?

awesome! /images/graemlins/laugh.gif

[baronzeus]

[ QUOTE ]
yikes. after reading your story i'm convinced you could soon wind up in this (http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/showflat.php?Cat=0&Number=3824573&an=0&page=0#Post 3824573) thread

[/ QUOTE ]

hahaha daryn why isnt your name in there...hasnt it happend like 6 times already

[phish]

Do NOT drop out of school. That would be the worst beat you could give yourself.

[daryn]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
yikes. after reading your story i'm convinced you could soon wind up in this (http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/showflat.php?Cat=0&Number=3824573&an=0&page=0#Post 3824573) thread

[/ QUOTE ]

hahaha daryn why isnt your name in there...hasnt it happend like 6 times already

[/ QUOTE ]

no man, i think you are confusing me with someone else. people have often thought that i went bust, because one of my friends was playing HU 300/600 on my account one time and went broke. rest assured it wasn't my cash.

i went bust once, a few years ago. that was only from about $5,000 down to $0 though.