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11-21-2005, 06:59 PM
Right now, what do you think would be the right/fair odds payout to someone who bets that the Giants miss the playoffs and is correct?

I'm a giants fan and i have friend who is putting me to the test. What do you think are the fair market odds?
11-21-2005, 07:31 PM
Please, if possible, walk me through the math at how you arrived at your number.

Thanks very much.
stereochild
11-21-2005, 08:00 PM
ive got giants season tickets, they'll be in the playoffs.
TheRover
11-21-2005, 08:03 PM
They are 1.2-1 to win the NFC East at bet365 and 1.9-1 at sportingbetusa. I'm not sure how to factor in the wildcards. My guess is even odds would be decent. Note the word "guess".
MCS
11-21-2005, 08:37 PM
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They are 1.2-1 to win the NFC East at bet365 and 1.9-1 at sportingbetusa.

[/ QUOTE ]

Wow. Those aren't even CLOSE. Weird.
TheRover
11-21-2005, 08:55 PM
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They are 1.2-1 to win the NFC East at bet365 and 1.9-1 at sportingbetusa.

[/ QUOTE ]

Wow. Those aren't even CLOSE. Weird.

[/ QUOTE ]

You know, I never really paid attention until you posted that, but NYG +190 (sbu) and Dallas -110 (365) is pretty damn interesting if you were confident that Washington had no shot.
DougOzzzz
11-21-2005, 09:51 PM
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
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They are 1.2-1 to win the NFC East at bet365 and 1.9-1 at sportingbetusa.

[/ QUOTE ]

Wow. Those aren't even CLOSE. Weird.

[/ QUOTE ]

You know, I never really paid attention until you posted that, but NYG +190 (sbu) and Dallas -110 (365) is pretty damn interesting if you were confident that Washington had no shot.

[/ QUOTE ]

You are laying 6.5 to 1. I'd have to look at the tiebreaks and schedules to be sure, but I'd guess with WAS 2 games behind they are less than 13% to win the division.
tech
11-21-2005, 10:14 PM
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ive got giants season tickets, they'll be in the playoffs.

[/ QUOTE ]

Great point. I never thought of that angle.
tech
11-21-2005, 10:18 PM
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You are laying 6.5 to 1. I'd have to look at the tiebreaks and schedules to be sure, but I'd guess with WAS 2 games behind they are less than 13% to win the division.

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I would bet the limit laying 6.5 to 1 against WAS winning the East. Current odds are closer to 13 to 1 against.
TheRover
11-22-2005, 12:37 AM
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You are laying 6.5 to 1. I'd have to look at the tiebreaks and schedules to be sure, but I'd guess with WAS 2 games behind they are less than 13% to win the division.

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I would bet the limit laying 6.5 to 1 against WAS winning the East. Current odds are closer to 13 to 1 against.

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Thanks for the comments. This is by far my weakest point i.r.t sports betting. Does this look OK?

Future Wager 11/21/05 23:28 ET
44.00/83.60 Result: Pending
Odds to win NFC East Championship
New York Giants 12/30/05 (12:00 ET)
19-10

01/01/2006 NFC East
(To Win Division) DAL Cowboys
-110 None To Run
Risk: 60.50 To Win: 55.00

NYG=+$23.10
Dallas=+$11

I didn't want to tie up anymore of my bankroll.