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I was reading a book that talks about how you should let your current "luck" influence your play .... meaning that if you have missed your last 5 draws ... you should not go for your 6th because your running cold ...( this is regardless of the fact that you are getting the right odds to call) i think this is bs but id like some opinions
purnell
11-17-2005, 06:17 AM
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I was reading a book that talks about how you should let your current "luck" influence your play .... meaning that if you have missed your last 5 draws ... you should not go for your 6th because your running cold ...( this is regardless of the fact that you are getting the right odds to call) i think this is bs but id like some opinions
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Its bs. If you flip a coin and it comes up heads five times in a row, is it more or less likely to come up heads on the next flip?
hmkpoker
11-17-2005, 09:18 AM
What book is this?
atrifix
11-17-2005, 04:33 PM
The only possible way to redeem this otherwise absurd claim is to base it on your table image. If you have missed 5 draws in a row, people may perceive you as bluffing and play more aggressively at you, which would make it more difficult to play weak hands. Other than that, this is an obvious reverse-Monte Carlo fallacy.
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What book is this?
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Sounds like "The Tao of Poker"
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I was reading a book that talks about how you should let your current "luck" influence your play .... meaning that if you have missed your last 5 draws ... you should not go for your 6th because your running cold ...( this is regardless of the fact that you are getting the right odds to call) i think this is bs but id like some opinions
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I for one think this is very sound poker advice. To prove this I invite you to play at my table and you will no doubt reap immediate benefits from employing this strategy.
PS: I remain convinced that if a fair coin comes up heads five times in a row that it is a near absolute certainty that it will come up heads on the next toss (or was it tails?).
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I was reading a book that talks about how you should let your current "luck" influence your play .... meaning that if you have missed your last 5 draws ... you should not go for your 6th because your running cold ...( this is regardless of the fact that you are getting the right odds to call) i think this is bs but id like some opinions
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Also, if you are walking through a casino and see that the ball has landed on black five times, black is a sure thing.
Actually, I remember reading something akin to this in Supersystem. DB or BB wrote that if they win a big pot, he would always play the next hand within reason. I think the reasoning was a little different though. I think they are trying to get you to build up table image when you are getting a hot streak of cards. Also, assuming you lose, which is probable, it gets some money back to the losers so they can keep paying (i mean, playing) happily.
PokerAmateur4
11-22-2005, 09:21 PM
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What book is this?
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Sounds like "The Tao of Poker"
[/ QUOTE ] Is this book really that worthless?
wow it is zen and the art of poker ... same author ... same book practically .... its a good book but that part is flawed
astrodon
11-22-2005, 10:44 PM
I believe the book you refer to may be Small Stakes Holdem (http://www.twoplustwo.com/books.html#Small%20Stakes%20Hold'em) by Sklansky; in the chapter "Where the Money Comes From" beginning pg 16.
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