11-13-2005, 08:42 AM
HU on the river and I'm first to act, I want to compare the EV of betting to that of check/calling.
Board:A3342 (no flush possibility)
I hold AT and am first to act
My opponents range: AJ (8ways),AQ(8),AK(8),KK(6),QQ(6)
Assume if I bet he never raises me.
X=%he calls with KK,QQ
Y=% he calls with AJ,AQ,AK
EV betting= X(12/36)(+1) + Y(24/36)(-1)
P=% he bets KK,QQ if I check
Z=% he bets AJ,AQ,AK if I check
EV check/call=P(12/36)(+1) + Z(24/36)(-1)
Is this right?
Board:A3342 (no flush possibility)
I hold AT and am first to act
My opponents range: AJ (8ways),AQ(8),AK(8),KK(6),QQ(6)
Assume if I bet he never raises me.
X=%he calls with KK,QQ
Y=% he calls with AJ,AQ,AK
EV betting= X(12/36)(+1) + Y(24/36)(-1)
P=% he bets KK,QQ if I check
Z=% he bets AJ,AQ,AK if I check
EV check/call=P(12/36)(+1) + Z(24/36)(-1)
Is this right?