(55) Bubble AQ [Archive] - Two Plus Two Older Archives

ace_in_the_hole

11-10-2005, 06:15 PM

Can I fold this?

NL Texas Hold'em $50 Buy-in + $5 Level:5 Blinds(75/150) -
Seat 6 is the button
Total number of players : 4
Seat 2: CanonExpress ( $1160 )
Seat 4: patroklo ( $2185 )
Seat 6: DPFLillePer ( $5010 )
Seat 10: HERO ( $1645 )
Trny:17299390 Level:5
Blinds(75/150)
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to HERO [ Ac Qd ]
patroklo folds.
DPFLillePer is all-In [5010]
HERO ??

pineapple888

11-10-2005, 06:17 PM

Yes, and you should fold it. Only with high pairs can you consider calling. I'm sure somebody else will post the math.

bigt439

11-10-2005, 06:27 PM

Yes. Gotta do an assignment now, but yes.

ace_in_the_hole

11-10-2005, 08:28 PM

Thats what i thought and did, but I ahve no SNG powertools and I am insecure. Thansk for the replies.

bigt439

11-10-2005, 09:32 PM

[ QUOTE ]
but I ahve no SNG powertools.

[/ QUOTE ]

For someoene who has played over 3500 sngs this is nothing short of dumb.

Well I know some sick players who don't, but they know situations like this like the back of their hand.

tewall

11-10-2005, 10:08 PM

Your equity is .21 if you fold, .31 if you call and win, and 0 if you call and lose. Your expected gain is (chance of winning) * (.31). For this to be greater than .21, your chance of winning would have to be better than 67%, but even against two random cards AQo only has a 64% chance of winning. So even if you knew your opponent would go all-in with anything here, you should still fold.

That's a bit counter-intuitive.

davehwm

11-10-2005, 10:56 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Thats what i thought and did, but I ahve no SNG powertools and I am insecure. Thansk for the replies.

[/ QUOTE ]

Get the powertools. It's more than just a tool to tell you if you're right or wrong. It will give you a tremendous amount of confidence when you confirm it was the right move, and hopefully plug some leaks if you're not pushing enough or pushing too much.

I was convinced to finally buy it earlier this week and I couldn't be happier.

11-11-2005, 12:21 AM

Easy fold

ace_in_the_hole

11-11-2005, 01:18 AM

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
but I ahve no SNG powertools.

[/ QUOTE ]

For someoene who has played over 3500 sngs this is nothing short of dumb.

Well I know some sick players who don't, but they know situations like this like the back of their hand.

[/ QUOTE ]

Good call. I wish it was $50 instead of $79, don;t know why but I would ahve bought it much sooner. I know I am weird.