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View Full Version : Rock, Paper, Scissors: Best first move?


splashpot
11-06-2005, 07:27 AM
What is the strongest first move? Why do you choose this option? What strategy do you use after the first throw? How many moves ahead do you think?

rwesty
11-06-2005, 07:30 AM
Obviously the one that beats the one that wins this poll.

ethan
11-06-2005, 07:37 AM
Good ol' rock. Nothing beats that!

Arnfinn Madsen
11-06-2005, 07:42 AM
[ QUOTE ]
Good ol' rock. Nothing beats that!

[/ QUOTE ]

I pick paper. 1-0 to me. Playing predictable is not smart in this game, son /images/graemlins/tongue.gif.

newhizzle
11-06-2005, 07:47 AM
scissors is the obvious answer, if you are going to play this game successfully you must lean to use third level thinking

your opponent thinks you will choose rock and he will choose paper, therfore you must choose scissors, unless he is too smart for that and will choose rock, then paper is the correct answer

ethan
11-06-2005, 07:49 AM
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Good ol' rock. Nothing beats that!

[/ QUOTE ]

I pick paper. 1-0 to me. Playing predictable is not smart in this game, son /images/graemlins/tongue.gif.

[/ QUOTE ]
Apparently, the reference was too obscure.

http://www.google.com/search?ie=UTF-8&oe=UTF-8&q="Good+ol%27+rock%2E+Nothing+beats+that%21+"

The Simpsons were what got me started on this game.

evil_twin
11-06-2005, 07:50 AM
I didn't answer, although I may give any old answer later to see the results.

But seriously, this game is all about your opponent. It is not a random game. The same few people win the RPS world championship each year. Seriously. If you need to decide something randomly, DO NOT use RPS to decide it, unless of course you know you have an edge over your opponent.

See this book (http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/tg/detail/-/0743267516/qid=1131277657/sr=8-1/ref=pd_bbs_1/002-3875683-8448857?v=glance&s=books&n=507846).

Also, one throw is not enough. RPS should be played in bouts of three throws in quick succesion.

I won 30 quid (what maybe 45 bucks?) on Friday night playing this after going out for curry and beers. It paid for my evening.

PS Ethan please fix your link, you've broken the page /images/graemlins/smile.gif

Arnfinn Madsen
11-06-2005, 07:53 AM
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Good ol' rock. Nothing beats that!

[/ QUOTE ]

I pick paper. 1-0 to me. Playing predictable is not smart in this game, son /images/graemlins/tongue.gif.

[/ QUOTE ]
Apparently, the reference was too obscure.



The Simpsons were what got me started on this game.

[/ QUOTE ]

So much effort in defending your loss instead of just accepting defeat /images/graemlins/tongue.gif. I offer you a rematch though, we send eachother a PM (as word of honor we don't open the one we receive until we have sent).

splashpot
11-06-2005, 07:55 AM
Ethan and Arnfin, if you see this in time, please edit your posts to remove that link.

Arnfinn Madsen
11-06-2005, 07:57 AM
I did now. It did not [censored] up my screen, why yours /images/graemlins/confused.gif

newhizzle
11-06-2005, 07:58 AM
you guys can use read receipts to ensure the integrity of your match

waffle
11-06-2005, 08:00 AM
I think most people use a somewhat random strategy except they are biased against choosing the same throw twice in a row. So if their last throw was scissors, I will choose paper this round.

Arnfinn Madsen
11-06-2005, 08:00 AM
Wow, smart. Even a tourney could be organised that way (by PM though, not by mail as they can be read without issuing a receipt).

MelK
11-06-2005, 08:03 AM
The way to be a consistent winner is to be the "house."


(The house wins all ties)

Arnfinn Madsen
11-06-2005, 08:03 AM
I changed my location, hoping to provoke somebody into a game /images/graemlins/cool.gif.

evil_twin
11-06-2005, 08:05 AM
You guys need to be playing in sets of three throws. So for example, "the avalance" is rock-rock-rock. "The bureaucrat", paper-paper-paper. /images/graemlins/wink.gif

MelK
11-06-2005, 08:10 AM
[ QUOTE ]
I changed my location, hoping to provoke somebody into a game /images/graemlins/cool.gif.

[/ QUOTE ]

Damn, you're good. I'm already behind, 0-1.

Brom
11-06-2005, 08:14 AM
It depends on the personality of your opponent. Assuming he/she isn't some RSP pro, and is just an average person playing it for kicks/small bet settlements.

Stubborn, unwavering, aggressive opponents tend to lead out rock. Smart, cunning, think they are tricky, type opponents favour leading out scissors. Passive, quiet, yet secure with themself type opponents usually lead out paper.

Note that these stereotypes often work against opening moves only. People do tend to lean to that opening move a little more than they probabilisticly should during the course of a match, but it's hard to pick which spots they will use it in after the beginning. It's all about playing the player, not your own hand.

Arnfinn Madsen
11-06-2005, 08:14 AM
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I changed my location, hoping to provoke somebody into a game /images/graemlins/cool.gif.

[/ QUOTE ]

Damn, you're good. I'm already behind, 0-1.

[/ QUOTE ]


GG. Don't quit your day job /images/graemlins/tongue.gif.

Arnfinn Madsen
11-06-2005, 08:36 AM
I concede defeat.

The new champion is

<font color="green"> DougShrapnel </font>

DougShrapnel
11-06-2005, 08:40 AM
[ QUOTE ]
I concede defeat.

The new champion is

<font color="green"> DougShrapnel </font>

[/ QUOTE ]Bring it on folks.

Diplomat
11-06-2005, 10:12 AM
No such thing, but generally against weaker players your first throw should be paper (since most weak players throw rock first). There are other things to consider though.

This year at the World RPS the best opening throw for me was rock, because most people seemed to think "Ok, he probably thinks I suck, so he's probably going to throw paper since rock is the most common first throw for new players, so
I'll throw scissors and catch him".

So, in that context, the best first throw was rock.

-Diplomat

tonypaladino
11-06-2005, 12:32 PM
Always sissors first move. People think everyone starts with rock.

Diplomat
11-06-2005, 04:51 PM
See, that's why rock is such a good first throw. /images/graemlins/smile.gif

-Diplomat

FatalError
11-06-2005, 04:53 PM
exactly why my opening move against an unknown is rock rock scissors rock rock

Publos Nemesis
11-06-2005, 04:54 PM
rock always wins

adsman
11-06-2005, 05:03 PM
We use this all the time at work to decide things. I win so much that my work colleges, (there are around 30 of us), routinely ask me how I win so often. I never tell them of course.
I always throw rock. They always throw scissors. All of them. Every single time. The other crazy thing is that it has to be best of 3. I still always win - rock, rock. They even watch me and try to figure out how to beat me. They never do.
A pity they won't play poker with me.

11-06-2005, 05:33 PM
Someone should start a website, rock paper scissors for cash. Have best of ___ matches for $____. Also have a player profile of every throw they've done. Then we can make an RPS tracker as a side business to track all opponents matches and show who they played and what they threw against them. Seems like a genious plan to me.

TheNoodleMan
11-06-2005, 06:01 PM
[ QUOTE ]
I didn't answer, although I may give any old answer later to see the results.

But seriously, this game is all about your opponent. It is not a random game. The same few people win the RPS world championship each year. Seriously. If you need to decide something randomly, DO NOT use RPS to decide it, unless of course you know you have an edge over your opponent.

See this book (http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/tg/detail/-/0743267516/qid=1131277657/sr=8-1/ref=pd_bbs_1/002-3875683-8448857?v=glance&amp;s=books&amp;n=507846).

Also, one throw is not enough. RPS should be played in bouts of three throws in quick succesion.

I won 30 quid (what maybe 45 bucks?) on Friday night playing this after going out for curry and beers. It paid for my evening.

PS Ethan please fix your link, you've broken the page /images/graemlins/smile.gif

[/ QUOTE ]
I have to ask, are you the one who bought that and the Stuey bio at the same time?

kitaristi0
11-06-2005, 06:15 PM
[ QUOTE ]
See this book (http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/tg/detail/-/0743267516/qid=1131277657/sr=8-1/ref=pd_bbs_1/002-3875683-8448857?v=glance&amp;s=books&amp;n=507846).

[/ QUOTE ]

Firstly, LOL.
Secondly, look at the 'Better Together' book that's recommended for people who bought this book. ÜBERLOL.

Blarg
11-06-2005, 06:31 PM
I'm just gonna wait for the movie.

Malachii
11-06-2005, 06:33 PM
Rock papers scissors is a game of psychology and pattern recognition. Understand what your opponents usually throw as their opening move. Most people will start with rock, then do scissors, then do paper or have some sort of easily recognizable pattern. Exploit this.

diebitter
11-06-2005, 06:33 PM
[ QUOTE ]
I'm just gonna wait for the movie.

[/ QUOTE ]

Is it a planned trilogy? I'm sure I've seen 'The Rock'...

stillbr
11-06-2005, 07:14 PM
[ QUOTE ]
Good ol' rock. Nothing beats that!

[/ QUOTE ]

This made me laugh

stillbr
11-06-2005, 07:16 PM
[ QUOTE ]
Good ol' rock. Nothing beats that!

[/ QUOTE ]

poor bart....always chooses rock

Blarg
11-06-2005, 07:28 PM
Dumber than a hamster.

kyro
11-06-2005, 07:54 PM
I played a lot about a month ago. Paper was rarely thrown first. Obviously this means rock is best.