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View Full Version : AK, easy call?

NorthernGuy
11-04-2005, 12:28 AM
Near the bubble of a 180 seat 20+2 on PS. Villain has been playing fairly solid. My guess is that he's more likely raising with QQ or JJ (maybe AK or AQ), but should I take that chance? I'm more interested in final table than cashing... and I'm about 22 of 25 right now.


PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t600 (9 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx (http://www.zerodivide.cx/converter)

CO (t6795)
Button (t13605)
SB (t5485)
Hero (t3545)
UTG (t6000)
UTG+1 (t17550)
MP1 (t2065)
MP2 (t4213)
MP3 (t18450)


Preflop: Hero is BB with A/images/graemlins/club.gif, K/images/graemlins/diamond.gif.
<font color="#CC3333">UTG raises to t1800</font>, <font color="#666666">7 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero ??? </font>
Lloyd
11-04-2005, 12:30 AM
You're shortstacked, likely a coin flip with decent odds. Easy push.
Exitonly
11-04-2005, 12:37 AM
[ QUOTE ]
You're shortstacked, likely a coin flip with decent odds. Easy push.

[/ QUOTE ]

Yep.

And it's not even likely a coinflip, you're also likely to be killing him.
NorthernGuy
11-04-2005, 12:39 AM
If he limped from UTG, would that be suspicious of AA or KK?
Dave D
11-04-2005, 12:40 AM
[ QUOTE ]
You're shortstacked, likely a coin flip with decent odds. Easy push.

[/ QUOTE ]
Exitonly
11-04-2005, 12:45 AM
[ QUOTE ]
If he limped from UTG, would that be suspicious of AA or KK?

[/ QUOTE ]

a little bit, but not NEARLY strong enough evidence to stop you from getting yoru money in here.
bruin
11-04-2005, 12:53 AM
AKo is just too good of a hand to throw away here. Get all your money in.
Ian J
11-04-2005, 01:45 AM
A little tip, not trying to be an ass. Anytime you have 6x the BB and see AK, barring any insane circumstances like a satellite or multiple raises in front of you, get it all in and be happy with yourself.
11-04-2005, 01:48 AM
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
You're shortstacked, likely a coin flip with decent odds. Easy push.

[/ QUOTE ]

[/ QUOTE ]
NorthernGuy
11-04-2005, 01:49 AM
I was happy to finally have AK... though this was one of those times I had a gut feeling he had AA or KK. It's easier to have that feeling in live play, but online I've sensed it a few times. Should I go against my "gut feeling", or fold it? Folding looks to weak to me since I'm shortstacked.

Anyway... he did have KK, and it held up.
Lloyd
11-04-2005, 01:51 AM
[ QUOTE ]
If he limped from UTG, would that be suspicious of AA or KK?

[/ QUOTE ]
He raised.
NorthernGuy
11-04-2005, 02:07 AM
Lloyd, my question in that post was "if"... in case you didn't read!
Lloyd
11-04-2005, 02:13 AM
It's a moo point. Push. Nuff said.
Shorty35
11-04-2005, 11:17 AM
If you have an A and a K in your hand your "gut" is almost always wrong that villan has AA or KK. In this circumstance, given your stack size, pushing is a no brainer.
11-04-2005, 11:25 AM
Yea this is an easy push. I wouldn't hesitate. Too many times you are up against medium pair or AQ/AJ here and the coinflip over a medium pair would be somewhat of a dream in this situation. Doubling up to 8000 here would be nice and you are almost guaranteed to make ITM.
rwanger
11-04-2005, 11:31 AM
Think about it this way: with 6x left, are you going to be dealt a better hand than AK in the next 20 hands?

The answer is no.

Push.

You were still 30% to win the hand...could have been worse.
NorthernGuy
11-04-2005, 03:30 PM
You guys all confirm how I was thinking. At the time I thought it was an easy push to try and double up. From the way villain was playing, I was pretty sure that he'd only make the 3xBB raise UTG with KK/AA... any less and I thought he would push instead, not looking for a caller. I was getting so shortstacked that I just couldn't get away from it, even though I was 95% sure he had the goods.