Super Thursday Hand... Draw on the Bubble

[MSUcougar]

Seat 1: nolimitguy ( $4476 )
Seat 3: B_O_K_E ( $13225 )
Seat 4: greenfee ( $5795 )
Seat 6: jaded247 ( $7977 )
Seat 9: MSUcougar ( $6214 )
Seat 10: aakk168 ( $3846 )
Seat 2: Cucumber99 ( $13780 )
Seat 5: frankr111 ( $1524 )
Seat 7: zmagic1 ( $8126 )
Seat 8: VegasOnAcid ( $4659 )
Trny:16929395 Level:9
Blinds (200/400)
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to MSUcougar [ Jc Tc ]
aakk168 folds.
nolimitguy folds.
Cucumber99 raises [800].
B_O_K_E folds.
greenfee folds.
frankr111 folds.
jaded247 folds.
zmagic1 folds.
VegasOnAcid calls [600].
greenfee: ........
MSUcougar calls [400].
** Dealing Flop ** [ 8c, 5d, 9d ]
VegasOnAcid checks.
MSUcougar bets [1100].
Cucumber99 folds.
VegasOnAcid is all-In [3859]
MSUcougar ???

First, flop lead ok?

At this point I've put 1900 in the pot and it's 2700 more to call... I have 4300 behind if I fold.

It's possible that my overcards are outs... plus backdoor FD, but I just hate calling pushes with just a draw...

Advice?

[adanthar]

I really don't like to lead out...you have the perfect hand and it's the perfect time for an all in checkraise, and a free card is fine.

You're committed now, though, may as well call.

[jwvdcw]

leading out with an amount that if re raised all in would give you a tough decision is a terrible move.

You need to avoid tough decisions. It'd be better to check raise all in, it'd be better to check and fold, it'd be better to just push all in. Playing super aggressive is ok. Playing very passive and folding is ok. But playing in between gets you killed.

Personally, I like a check raise all in here. And if he happens to bet so much that he'd be pot committed then just fold.

[billyjex]

I definetely like the C/R all in here. You may also get free cards.

[MSUcougar]

[ QUOTE ]
leading out with an amount that if re raised all in would give you a tough decision is a terrible move.

You need to avoid tough decisions. It'd be better to check raise all in, it'd be better to check and fold, it'd be better to just push all in. Playing super aggressive is ok. Playing very passive and folding is ok. But playing in between gets you killed.

Personally, I like a check raise all in here. And if he happens to bet so much that he'd be pot committed then just fold.

[/ QUOTE ]
Now that I look at it again I definitely agree... I think the C/R would be particularly effective since there were about 125 left (100 ITM).