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View Full Version : How risky was this play?


10-25-2005, 09:44 PM
Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (10 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx (http://www.zerodivide.cx/converter)

MP1 ($25)
Hero ($33.29)
MP3 ($13.10)
CO ($33.92)
Button ($13.92)
SB ($8.15)
BB ($24.35)
UTG ($21.20)
UTG+1 ($14.35)
UTG+2 ($22)

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with 9/images/graemlins/diamond.gif, 9/images/graemlins/spade.gif. SB posts a blind of $0.10.
<font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, UTG+2 calls $0.25, <font color="#CC3333">MP1 raises to $1</font>, Hero calls $1, <font color="#666666">4 folds</font>, BB calls $0.75, UTG+2 calls $0.75.

Flop: ($4.10) J/images/graemlins/heart.gif, J/images/graemlins/spade.gif, J/images/graemlins/diamond.gif <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font>
BB checks, UTG+2 checks, <font color="#CC3333">MP1 bets $3</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $10</font>, BB folds, UTG+2 folds, MP1 calls $7.

Turn: ($24.10) 4/images/graemlins/spade.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
MP1 checks, Hero calls $22.29 (All-In), MP1 calls $14 (All-In).

River: ($60.39) 3/images/graemlins/spade.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players, 2 all-in)</font>

Final Pot: $60.39

RED FACE
10-25-2005, 09:59 PM
The flop raise looks good but his call looks very bad for you. You have position. Could you get away from this hand if an A or K hits and he pushes the river? If so, then maybe check behind on the turn. If an A or K hit and he has TT-QQ he may check into you on river too. If he has a pp and no oc hits then he w likely push river. Maybe he has 88. Tough hand. Risk level: moderate.

10-25-2005, 10:01 PM
I think it's very risky. Even if you're certain your opponent's MP1 preflop raising range with a limper in front is 66+, then you're beating 66/77/88 and losing to TT/QQ/KK/AA/quads. Most people won't raise with this wide a range here, and even if they do there are more winning hands your opponent can hold than losing ones.

mayesie
10-25-2005, 10:18 PM
I think you're probably beaten by a higher pocket-pair. What hands would the villain

1) Raise with pf

and

2) Call your flop re-raise with?


Probably Tens, Queens, Kings, or Aces (though anything is possible w/ some players)

10-25-2005, 11:01 PM
raising him on the flop basically tells him u dont have the J, therefore I think he would have pushed in with 10,10 or higher....he might have AK and put you on a bluff, depends on how your opponent has been playing. Its risky but not that stupid just a little /images/graemlins/smile.gif

hockeyf
10-26-2005, 01:20 AM
Seen worse /images/graemlins/smile.gif