PDA

View Full Version : (22) What do I need to make this call on the bubble?

golfcchs
10-22-2005, 10:31 PM
Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t150 (4 handed) converter (http://www.selachian.com/tools/bisonconverter/hhconverter.cgi)

BB (t681)
UTG (t5275)
Button (t274)
Hero (t1770)

Preflop: Hero is SB with A/images/graemlins/spade.gif, K/images/graemlins/heart.gif.
UTG pushes all in <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>.

Final Pot: t225

UTG has been playing his big stack very well and has been pushing allot knowing that bb is short and other stacks cant hurt him. Is AK good enough to call? What is the worst hand you would call with here?
bluefeet
10-22-2005, 10:36 PM
KK/AA, that's it. good fold.
Deuce2High
10-22-2005, 10:37 PM
I fold KK here.
golfcchs
10-22-2005, 10:40 PM
Really only AA and KK when UTG is pushing at least top 75&amp;
bluefeet
10-22-2005, 10:43 PM
Glad you mentioned 75% /images/graemlins/wink.gif

Even KK doesn't become &gt;.5% until he pushes at least 70%

Ps. AKo is still -5.6% $EV if he pushes any 2 face up.
10-22-2005, 11:16 PM
QQ+ here. AKo is an easy fold
bluefeet
10-22-2005, 11:34 PM
[ QUOTE ]
QQ+ here. AKo is an easy fold

[/ QUOTE ]

QQ - well, you might think so, but it just isn't the case:

if he pushes 22+,A2+,K2+,Q2+,J2+,T2+,92+,82+,72+,62+,52+,42+,32 (note this is any two /images/graemlins/wink.gif)

-.1%EV
lastchance
10-22-2005, 11:39 PM
Depends on Villain's range, but I'd say QQ-AA, maybe KK-AA.

Don't fold KK here.
Uppercut
10-23-2005, 12:03 AM
[ QUOTE ]

Glad you mentioned 75% /images/graemlins/wink.gif

Even KK doesn't become &gt;.5% until he pushes at least 70%

Ps. AKo is still -5.6% $EV if he pushes any 2 face up.

[/ QUOTE ]

Wow! That is some serious negative expected value for a hand as strong as AKo. But it makes sense in this particular situation given the microstack on the bubble.