(NC) I just joined the 10 game OOTM in a row club

[splashpot]

Let's see how long I keep this streak going.

[EricW]

[ QUOTE ]
Let's see how long I keep this streak going.

[/ QUOTE ]

i thought you played lots dude? you JUST went 10 OOTM?? I've had 5 of those in the past 828 games.

[tigerite]

I've had 14, or something, and over 10 at least 3 times I can remember. In fact it might have been 17. Damned if I remember now.

[splashpot]

I've only been playing a lot for 3-4 months. I've got about 2000 games. I guess I've been lucky that I haven't hit this til now?

[EricW]

[ QUOTE ]
I've only been playing a lot for 3-4 months. I've got about 2000 games. I guess I've been lucky that I haven't hit this til now?

[/ QUOTE ]

Wow you luck box /images/graemlins/wink.gif

2000 games and just your first 10 OOTM streak? Perhaps a math guy like tigerite can figure out what the chances of playing 2000 games without a 10+ OOTM streak is (let's assume that splashpot's ITM % is 39% for this little experiment).

[splashpot]

Ended at 10. I just came in 2nd.

[unreal_nh]

hmmm... try 4/0/1/32. that includes ootm streaks of 12 and 14. I WIN! /images/graemlins/frown.gif

[1C5]

26 is my record.

[meanjean]

[ QUOTE ]


Wow you luck box /images/graemlins/wink.gif

2000 games and just your first 10 OOTM streak? Perhaps a math guy like tigerite can figure out what the chances of playing 2000 games without a 10+ OOTM streak is (let's assume that splashpot's ITM % is 39% for this little experiment).

[/ QUOTE ]

at 40% ITM there is a 0.6% chance of ten consecuative OOTM finishes...so about 11 to 1 against...

did I do that right? .6 expodential 10=.006...2000*0.006=12

[downtown]

[ QUOTE ]
26 is my record.

[/ QUOTE ]

Low content post follows:

Ha, funny, I've never looked for these streaks before, I've just looked at overall downswings.

It appears from my records that I once had 13 OOTM, then a 3rd, then 12 OOTM. This was when I played the 33s, so I doubt that the 50 bucks for 3rd in the middle there did too much for my confidence at the time. This started my worst downswing ever of -34 buyins. /images/graemlins/shocked.gif I think I've had -10 buyins a couple of times at the 55s, but I try not to pay attention to things like that anymore. Try not to, at least.

[zipppy]

[ QUOTE ]


at 40% ITM there is a 0.6% chance of ten consecuative OOTM finishes...so about 11 to 1 against...

did I do that right? .6 expodential 10=.006...2000*0.006=12

[/ QUOTE ]

That is correct. What this also means is that with 40% ITM, you have appoxiately 0.01% chance of getting ITM 10 times in a row. /images/graemlins/blush.gif:(

>>>ZIPPPY

[splashpot]

[ QUOTE ]
6 expodential 10=.006...2000*0.006=12

[/ QUOTE ]
Does this mean that I statistically should have had 12 of these OOTM streaks? Or am I completely reading that wrong.

[Seth Money]

16 is my record, I had a double barrel in my hand then I won the next 3 tournies. Ahhhh variance /images/graemlins/smile.gif

Seth

[stupidsucker]

[ QUOTE ]
I've only been playing a lot for 3-4 months. I've got about 2000 games. I guess I've been lucky that I haven't hit this til now?

[/ QUOTE ]

Extremely lucky.

10 in a row is hardly a flesh wound.

[meanjean]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
6 expodential 10=.006...2000*0.006=12

[/ QUOTE ]
Does this mean that I statistically should have had 12 of these OOTM streaks? Or am I completely reading that wrong.

[/ QUOTE ]

I think so...I'm guessing however

[psyduck]

<font color="blue"> I've lost $500 in ONE HOUR at the 33s 10-tabling. That was something like a 18 OOTM in a row </font>

[citanul]

brag post.

c

[MegaBet]

Welcome to the club that includes almost everyone in this forum!! /images/graemlins/grin.gif

[MegaBet]

[ QUOTE ]
26 is my record.

[/ QUOTE ]

[X] You Might Suck

j/k /images/graemlins/grin.gif

[1C5]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
26 is my record.

[/ QUOTE ]

[X] You Might Suck

j/k /images/graemlins/grin.gif

[/ QUOTE ]

Sometimes I feel that same way. /images/graemlins/laugh.gif