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Rickyroodido
10-11-2005, 10:47 AM
This felt standard, but I was abused in the chat for it, so I thought I should check it out. Im to resultsoriented so I have bad confidence right now /images/graemlins/laugh.gif

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t600 (8 handed) wacki's version of bison (http://parazen.bio.indiana.edu/cgi-bin/tc.cgi)
Antes are 50, the initial pot is 1200

MP2 (t4865)
CO (t16375)
Button (t7365)
SB (t2005)
BB (t13767)
UTG (t13283)
UTG+1 (t10485)
Hero (t5135)

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with 7 /images/graemlins/heart.gif, 7 /images/graemlins/club.gif.
UTG raises to t1800, 1 fold, Hero raises to t5085, 5 folds, UTG calls t3285.

I dont have any fold equity, but I hoped he would have AK, AQ.

betgo
10-11-2005, 11:41 AM
You had 5K not 5M.

You are about 62% with pot odds against AK/AQ and about 22% with pot odds against a higher pair. So it has to be more than twice as likely UTG has overcards than an overpair to make this EV+.

If UTG could have a lower pair or be stealing, then the push is a lot better. There are other players to act. If someone cold calls, they either have AK or JJ-AA.

Unless UTG is making loose early position raises, I think this is a fold. However, it is fairly close, and pushing isn't that terrible.

Rickyroodido
10-11-2005, 12:32 PM
Thank you for the good comments. Nice to know the math of the situation, not my strong side.
It felt like I hade to do something, because every pot was contested and I was getting cold cards. Unfortunetly I had no read on UTG, but it was generally popular to limp with monsters and raise with overcards early.