Single table satellite end game hand...

[BigBaitsim (milo)]

4 players left. 3000 chips in play, blinds are 50/100. First place gets everything, although two-way chops are fairly standard.

You are in the SB with 1100.

BB is very tight and unimaginative. He has about 250.

UTG has 450 is a TAG you know well. You respect his game and he is the one person at the table you think is at your level.

UTG+1 is a moron, who has 1200 in chips, garnered by calling re-raises with A7o and hitting. He loves to come over the top when anyone raises to him, but has folded to three all-ins by UTG.

On this hand, UTG makes an unusual raise to 225, half his stack and 1.25xBB. UTG+1 immediately puts out half his chips, raising to 600 (he WILL call any re-raise).

You look down at AKo...

[TheSalche]

UTG probably has a PP 10s +
chances are UTG + 1 has Ax or Kx meaning you're worse than a coinflip here ... there has to be a better spot to get your money in

UTG obviously has the same read on UTG+1 and wants action from him, which is why he made the unusual raise

i think fold and living with the results is a good idea

[Newt_Buggs]

interesting hand

I'de put UTG on a very tight range, possibly even QQ+, which you're 30.9% against. However, you can come out ahead by winning the sidepot against the donk, who i'de put on 22+,A2+,KTs,KJo+ which makes you 62.9% against him.

Against UTG you make: .309*550=169.95 for a win and loose .691*350= 241.85 for a net loss of 72 chips.

800 to be won from the sidepot, so if you win 62.9% of the time you come out ahead 206.4 chips.

206.4-72= 134 total chips gained.

Obviously, these calculations are incomplete and done quickly, but it can give you an estimate.

possible problems besides the math:
-I really don't know what hand range to put UTG on. There's a decent chance that he has a hand other than QQ+ and is doing something weird.
-UTG+1 could have a wider range

This is probably a call

[BigBaitsim (milo)]

Milo is UTG with AQo, and hoping for an over the top raise by UTG+1 with nothing.

UTG+1 has K7o, and obliges.

SB folds his AKo.

Milo calls.

SB is not happy when he sees hands.

Board is raggy, and nobody improves.

SB complains more.

[Sykes]

Easy push. Weak-tight if you fold this.