River value bet?

[Argus]

SB is a loose, slightly aggressive player based on 100 datamined hands. edit: stats are 63/23/0.9 over 100 hands. MP is unknown. This is my first hand at the table, so I don't have any reads beyond datamining.

My main question is the river, but if any other street was mishandled, I'm interested to hear it.

Party Poker 5/10 Hold'em (6 max, 5 handed) converter (http://www.selachian.com/tools/bisonconverter/hhconverter.cgi)

Preflop: Hero is BB with Q/images/graemlins/spade.gif, 5/images/graemlins/heart.gif.
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, MP calls, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, SB completes, Hero checks.

Flop: (3 SB) 4/images/graemlins/diamond.gif, 3/images/graemlins/spade.gif, 5/images/graemlins/diamond.gif <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">SB bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, MP calls, <font color="#CC3333">SB 3-bets</font>, Hero calls, MP calls.

Turn: (6 BB) 8/images/graemlins/heart.gif <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">SB bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, MP folds, SB calls.

River: (10 BB) K/images/graemlins/heart.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="green">Hero?</font>

[Moneyline]

Tricky hand...

On the flop I think raising is just barely better than folding. I like the turn raise, but I'd make it with the intention of checking behind on the river, and folding to any more action. The board is so draw heavy that I don't think you're collecting from a lot of SB's possible holdings, and hands like A5s and flopped two pair are also major considerations.

Just my opinion...

[w_alloy]

I like it the whole way, definantly check behind on the river.

[The Truth]

Yea, you gotta check behind on the river. If he calls, you don't win &gt;50% of the time.


-blake