value bets??

[silkyslim]

No reads on villian yet. Should I value bet or try to induce bluff. is there a book i can read for this?


Party Poker 2/4 Hold'em (10 handed) converter (http://www.selachian.com/tools/bisonconverter/hhconverter.cgi)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with K/images/graemlins/heart.gif, Q/images/graemlins/heart.gif.
<font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, <font color="#666666">5 folds</font>, CO calls, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>.

Flop: (5.50 SB) T/images/graemlins/club.gif, 8/images/graemlins/spade.gif, A/images/graemlins/diamond.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, CO calls.

Turn: (3.75 BB) K/images/graemlins/diamond.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, CO calls.

River: (5.75 BB) 6/images/graemlins/diamond.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero ??

You need a reason to think that he will bluff. Until you have a reason, bet.

[silkyslim]

well im value bettign against a T, 8, or less. i think his most likely holding is a crappy ace. What do u guys think

Inducing a bluff is not what you're talking about then. Anyways, this is either a bet/fold or a check/fold situation against most players.

I think we can rule out check/folding, since we're getting ~7:1 vs. an unknown villain who has shown no real strength the entire hand. That leaves betting and calling. Based on the way the hand played out, I think it's fair to assume villain will call with more hands than he'll bet. Here are my thoughts on villain’s likely actions:

*Hands that'll call that we beat:
Pair of Ts, 99, KJ,
*Other less likely possibilities:
Pair of 8s, QQ, JJ

*Hands that'll bet that we beat:
Weaker K, Possibly a busted draw

Therefore we are less of underdog when we bet out. So I think betting out is better here.

The chapter “heads up on the end” in TOP describes river play in great depth, and is really helpful. I recommend you look at that, if you haven’t already.

[Chris Daddy Cool]

bet.

if you know your guy you can try something else.

[Redd]

Many worse hands will call here and he hasn't given us any reason to believe that you're beat. Bet it.