$22: Bet the river?

[Costanza]

The downswing continues, so time to post some more hands, I guess. I think this one's easy but just wanted to make sure.

Early in the tournament, no real reads. I got my chips a few hands ago by taking what was left of a donk's stack when my KK found a non-ace rag board and he thought his middle pair was good.


Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t15 (9 handed) converter (http://www.selachian.com/tools/bisonconverter/hhconverter.cgi)

BB (t670)
UTG (t1035)
UTG+1 (t1035)
MP1 (t710)
MP2 (t260)
MP3 (t870)
CO (t1285)
Hero (t1365)
SB (t770)

Preflop: Hero is Button with 7/images/graemlins/spade.gif, 7/images/graemlins/heart.gif.
<font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, MP2 calls t15, MP3 calls t15, CO calls t15, Hero calls t15, SB completes, BB checks.

Flop: (t90) T/images/graemlins/heart.gif, 7/images/graemlins/club.gif, A/images/graemlins/heart.gif <font color="#0000FF">(6 players)</font>
SB checks, BB checks, MP2 checks, <font color="#CC3333">MP3 bets t30</font>, CO calls t30, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to t150</font>, SB folds, BB folds, MP2 folds, MP3 folds, CO calls t120.

Turn: (t420) 8/images/graemlins/club.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
CO checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets t350</font>, CO calls t350.

River: (t1120) 5/images/graemlins/diamond.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
CO checks, Hero...

[WillMagic]

What makes you think your hand isn't good here?

The decision is whether to bet 350 again or to jam...not whether we should bet at all.

I think I'm betting 350.

Will

[EricW]

Why didn't you push that turn homie?

[Costanza]

No... I think my hand is good. But it might not be, and I don't think he's going to call unless he has me beat.

Again, thinking this might be a leak.

[TruFloridaGator]

350, that would be 1/2 of what he has left, just jam it easily. No reason for me to think this hand isn't good, pretty much blanks on both streets in my mind.

[TruFloridaGator]

Not terrible obviously, but I definately want all of the value out of my set now that it's been a blank on the turn. Depends on read I guess. I think he has Ax.

[hobbes9324]

push......probably push the turn - you gotta be ahead about 95% of the time, and you WILL get called at this level with an amazing number of hands.

[Olback]

With no reads, i don't see how you cannot push the river. him checking is a sign of weakness especially on the river. If he has you beat so be it, but you gotta push the river.

Also i sent you a PM. Send me another 1, if u did not get it. /images/graemlins/smile.gif