NFL Week 4 Poll

[NoChance]

The format for last week worked well. I am sticking with that for this week.

.

[lorinda]

San Francisco at Arizona (MEXICO CITY)

Lori

[eggzz]

Suggestion, why don't you include what the consensus record was versus the spread for the previous week? And also perhaps a running total record versus the spread year to date?

[MookieBlaylock]

[ QUOTE ]
Suggestion, why don't you include what the consensus record was versus the spread for the previous week? And also perhaps a running total record versus the spread year to date?

[/ QUOTE ]

I was thinking the same thing. Good idea.

[NoChance]

If someone has some extra time on their hands, please do so. Last week we were 6-7 against the spread (NE/Pit was 50/50 at time of kickoff).

e

[NoChance]

Finally submitted my picks as this week seems tough.

I don't understand how these polls get "inverted" sometimes when you submit them. I put the "I don't want to vote" choice on top and then started with the early games and ended with the Monday night game. But now when I view it, they are almost upside down.

Anyway, some interesting results already. This week looks tough for me. I like two games for sure but now that I see a few more I should look into. Thanks to all that vote. The more people who vote, the better the results can be.

[Sluss]

*Who doesn't love the Bump*

[joeski19]

[ QUOTE ]
The format for last week worked well. I am sticking with that for this week.

.

[/ QUOTE ]

So your taking the game with the highest votes?

[NoChance]

No. It's that a larger sample size is always best when looking at percentages. This week is different in that it's harder (at least for me) to find value in the lines this week because all the home teams are favored except for Indy. The old saying is, "just pick the winner of the game and you will win the spread a majority of the time as well". That means taking a whole bunch of favorites this week which always makes me uncomfortable. However, I am also uncomfortable taking small underdogs on the road as well. That is what makes it difficult for me this week. I have two games I like a lot and about 6 others I am considering. There are a couple over/unders I like this week too. It may not be best to play "contrarian" as much this week because of the lines/home teams being fovored. We will see. Strange week.

bump

[mrbaseball]

I'm parlaying Dallas and Detrot right now. This can't miss /images/graemlins/smile.gif

[DaveKForty7]

Bump

[NoChance]

Top 5 2+2 picks are 3-11-1 cumulative for the year through week 3. Here is the list in order this week just prior to the early game kickoffs:

80% TB

78% Oak

69% Ind
69% NYG
68% Sea
64% Atl
63% SF
60% Jac

58% Cin
57% Car
55% NYJ
52% NO

SD/NE 50/50
Phi/KC 50/50

[llabb]

Here is the Week 3 Breakdown, as I tally it:

52-55% 1-1
56-60% 2-0
61-65% 2-1
66-70% 1-1
71%+ 0-3
Total 6-6

There were also 2 games in the 51% or less category, which I am not counting since it appears to be a meaningless margin. (Those games went 0-2.)

[MyTurn2Raise]

can you say "2+2 pundits" for contrarian picks? I'm starting to think so. Our next bar stool talent pool.