$11: Basic (?) SNG-question.

[kongo_totte]

Ok, I play almost exclusively cash games, so bare with me if this is a no-brainer.

Setting: Party 10+1 SNG. 2 players left. We´ve been HU for quite a while, but there has been no called all in. A flop hasn't been seen where atleast one wasn't all in since the 4th guy got knocked out, and I doubt there'll be any more post-flop play in this game.

Villian is either raising or folding PF. Hero covers villian with about 4200 to 3800 before the hand. Hero is BB w/ 2 2.

Blinds 250/500 (this is the second last hand before blinds go up)

Villians posts SB of 250, Hero posts BB of 500.

SB makes it 1500, Hero...?

I doubt I have any fold equity here.

Again, sorry if this is basic.

i would push. But then again, i'm crazy.

[ChuckyB]

Push. You can't call and try and play it after the flop. He won't fold...and you'll get in as a 53/47 favorite.

[Fatdogs12]

IMO either was is fine. You could fold it or push. You do have some fold equity I think. I am in this position so often and a TON of the time they fold. Probably around 65% or so.

I hate 22 a lot though. Pushing is good though. Yeah so probably push this. Unless you are positive he will call. In which case pushing is probably still right.

[Malachii]

[ QUOTE ]
you'll get in as a 53/47 favorite.

[/ QUOTE ]
According to Pokerstove, Kongo's equity versus his calling range (which I set at any ace, any broadway, any pocket pair, K9o+ and T9s) is 45%. Some food for thought.

[MegaBet]

Push any pocket pair.

[mosdef]

[ QUOTE ]
Push. You can't call and try and play it after the flop. He won't fold...and you'll get in as a 53/47 favorite.

[/ QUOTE ]

important point in malachii's post. you can push it, but NOT because you expect to be a 53/47 favorite all the time.

even against some fairly innocent looking hands like 78o, you can be a small dog. the point is that the dead money is larger in size (relative to your stacks) than your opponents thin edge. after you push, note that your opponent would be right to call with any two as well. in other words, there is so much money in the pot that neither player would be correct to fold after that initial raise. which is a good reason to just shove instead of tossing in a 3BB raise that late in the tourney.