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View Full Version : Big wrap with small stacks. I'm ahead, but should I raise?


RoundTower
09-21-2005, 04:04 PM
I also posted this on another forum, but I thought I might get some new insight here.

Played in the casino in Barcelona, during the EPT festival. Many of the players are here for the festival, although there are some bad mostly passive local players. Blinds are €5-€10. This is the smallest big-bet game in the casino. The game is reasonably loose, with a couple of good players and one or two very bad ones. I have about €400 in chips, and the big blind has about €600. He has come to the table recently, but I think of him as fairly aggressive. He probably thinks I am tight.

There are two limpers and I limp on the cutoff with 6 /images/graemlins/spade.gif 8 /images/graemlins/heart.gif T /images/graemlins/diamond.gif J /images/graemlins/spade.gif. The small blind calls, big blind checks. Pot is €50.

Flop is 7 /images/graemlins/diamond.gif 9 /images/graemlins/spade.gif K /images/graemlins/heart.gif. The big blind bets €50 and only I call. The pot is €150.

Turn is the 2 /images/graemlins/spade.gif. He bets €150. At this point I read him for a strong made hand, most likely trip 9s or trip Ks. The pot is €450, and I have about €200 left.

What do I do?

Acesover8s
09-21-2005, 04:31 PM
Call and put your remaining money in on the river if you hit. You have very little left, so you're likely to get paid off, and you have no folding equity so a raise is foolish.

You are an equity favorite against almost anything he could have (set plus bigger spade draw is an exception).

This is one of the spots that many 'gambling type' players make a mistake, by saying "its +ev to jam right here so lets do it", when you can make a better decision to get 150 in here as a 60% favorite, and then your last 50 goes in as a 100% favorite or stays in your pocket when it is dead.

RoundTower
09-21-2005, 11:24 PM
Yes, my natural instinct was to raise with a hand like that, but I decided I had no folding equity and an excellent chance for free money on the end, so I called.

I think flat calling on the flop may be a mistake, however.