flair1239
09-15-2005, 11:18 AM
Hero 8 /images/graemlins/club.gif 8 /images/graemlins/spade.gif in BB
Villian is MP2 35/12/2.3: PAHUD Info over 250 hands, has bet the flop after a raise 90% of the time, Turn aggression is 2.5, bets and raises many turns.
PF: Villian raises, SB calls, hero calls
Flop: (2-players) (6SB) Q /images/graemlins/heart.gif 7 /images/graemlins/spade.gif 3 /images/graemlins/diamond.gif
Check, check, bet, SB folds, I call
Turn: (4bb) 9 /images/graemlins/club.gif
Hero... begins thinking
I thought about leading the flop, but figured that would just lead to a raise from him, and I was not wild about three betting. So I figured to see the turn and go from there .
I am not sure how I feel about the 9. IMO it probably does not change much. But I really can't be sure.
The pot is small and check folding, does not seem outrageous. But against this player, I feel that might be giving up too much as his open raising range is probably fairly broad.
I think if I am not beat it seems reasonable to assume that he has anywhere from 3-10 outs, with 6 probably the most likely. This would seem to push me towards betting.
The problem as I see it is, I could easily be raised by a worse hand here. I am of the opinion that I can't bet/call-Check/call.
Here is where I am at. I am fairly ceratin that he is betting the turn if I check. So being that I could be beat already, and the pot is small... is it really that big of a deal if I check/call. He probably will not take a free card anyway.... I have more thoughts on this, but I want to see the general reaction first.
Bonus Question: What if turn was a Ten?
Villian is MP2 35/12/2.3: PAHUD Info over 250 hands, has bet the flop after a raise 90% of the time, Turn aggression is 2.5, bets and raises many turns.
PF: Villian raises, SB calls, hero calls
Flop: (2-players) (6SB) Q /images/graemlins/heart.gif 7 /images/graemlins/spade.gif 3 /images/graemlins/diamond.gif
Check, check, bet, SB folds, I call
Turn: (4bb) 9 /images/graemlins/club.gif
Hero... begins thinking
I thought about leading the flop, but figured that would just lead to a raise from him, and I was not wild about three betting. So I figured to see the turn and go from there .
I am not sure how I feel about the 9. IMO it probably does not change much. But I really can't be sure.
The pot is small and check folding, does not seem outrageous. But against this player, I feel that might be giving up too much as his open raising range is probably fairly broad.
I think if I am not beat it seems reasonable to assume that he has anywhere from 3-10 outs, with 6 probably the most likely. This would seem to push me towards betting.
The problem as I see it is, I could easily be raised by a worse hand here. I am of the opinion that I can't bet/call-Check/call.
Here is where I am at. I am fairly ceratin that he is betting the turn if I check. So being that I could be beat already, and the pot is small... is it really that big of a deal if I check/call. He probably will not take a free card anyway.... I have more thoughts on this, but I want to see the general reaction first.
Bonus Question: What if turn was a Ten?