AAK6s turn decision gutshot + nut flush draws

[Maulik]

***** Hand History for Game 2629600634 *****
$25 PL Omaha - Wednesday, August 31, 14:38:58 EDT 2005
Table Table 36761 (Real Money)
Seat 1 is the button
Total number of players : 10
Seat 1: ARMY_grinder ( $22.41 )
Seat 3: RAB555 ( $20.90 )
Seat 4: makoa0 ( $21.85 )
Seat 5: LDRiego ( $26.82 )
Seat 6: a040771 ( $7.65 )
Seat 7: mohockey ( $78.10 )
Seat 10: festivustime ( $31.60 )
Seat 9: Maulik ( $25.45 )
Seat 8: sangrefrio ( $24.75 )
Seat 2: luvpokergods ( $25.50 )
luvpokergods posts small blind [$0.10].
RAB555 posts big blind [$0.25].
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to Maulik [ A /images/graemlins/heart.gif K /images/graemlins/heart.gif 6 /images/graemlins/heart.gif A /images/graemlins/spade.gif ]
makoa0 folds.
LDRiego calls [$0.25].
a040771 folds.
mohockey calls [$0.25].
sangrefrio folds.
Maulik raises [$1.35].
festivustime folds.
ARMY_grinder folds.
luvpokergods folds.
RAB555 folds.
LDRiego calls [$1.10].
mohockey calls [$1.10].
** Dealing Flop ** [ 2 /images/graemlins/heart.gif, 9 /images/graemlins/heart.gif, T /images/graemlins/diamond.gif ]
LDRiego checks.
mohockey bets [$3].
Maulik raises [$10].
LDRiego folds.
mohockey calls [$7].
** Dealing Turn ** [ Q /images/graemlins/diamond.gif ]
mohockey bets [$23.20].
Maulik is all-In ???

[Entity]

I wouldn't raise this hand preflop. You've got 10 outs on the turn so it's really just a math problem from there. I also think your flop raise seems a bit off as you're often going to be up against a big draw and your flush draw is limited quite a bit with you holding an extra /images/graemlins/heart.gif. If villain pushes back on this flop, you're often way behind and drawing to your two hearts or runner-runner to hit your hand, and a lot of limping hands are a big favorite to you on this one.

Given your stack size, though, I don't think you're getting away from this one. You've got 10 pure outs and are paying $14.1 to win $61.35, and you need to be getting 3.6:1 to call here, so I think you can call profitably. Just don't expect to win often at all.

Rob

[Burdzthewurd]

Then what DO you raise preflop Entity? PF action is fine.

[Entity]

I messed up the math. This looks like a fold. You're actually getting 38.5:14.1 on your call and you need 3.6:1 to call.

Rob

[Entity]

[ QUOTE ]
Then what DO you raise preflop Entity? PF action is fine.

[/ QUOTE ]

I try to raise good hands, not dry aces. AAxx is basically what you have here, as your /images/graemlins/heart.gif draws aren't great, the 6 does absolutely nothing for your hand, and you have very little postflop straightening potential. You're only getting in 5% of your stack, and you're going to tie yourself and everyone else to a flop where you often aren't best.

Rob

[Burdzthewurd]

That's not a dry Ace, it's single-suited, which is fine for a pf raise, it doesn't need to have big runners or another pair to raise it pf. If it was AAK6 no suits that'd be a limp.

[illegit]

Math problem. 10 pure outs. 13 outs are the most possible I'd say i.e. If he has a set without 2 diamonds you've got 13 outs. Say 11.5 on average which is about 2.8:1 against, and the pot is laying about 2.6:1. Close but a fold.