44 vs. LPP

[UncleSalty]

Villain is a delightful 67/3/.8

Should I be raising the turn donk bet for value? Too passive on the river?

Thanks for all comments.

Party Poker 3/6 Hold'em (6 max, 5 handed) converter (http://www.selachian.com/tools/bisonconverter/hhconverter.cgi)

Preflop: Hero is MP with 4/images/graemlins/club.gif, 4/images/graemlins/heart.gif.
UTG calls, Hero calls, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, BB checks.

Flop: (3.33 SB) 6/images/graemlins/diamond.gif, 3/images/graemlins/spade.gif, 6/images/graemlins/heart.gif <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">BB bets</font>, UTG folds, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, BB calls.

Turn: (3.66 BB) 3/images/graemlins/club.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">BB bets</font>, Hero calls.

River: (5.66 BB) J/images/graemlins/club.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
BB checks, Hero checks.

Final Pot: 5.66 BB

Edit: Thinking about the hand further, I think the best line may be to smooth call the turn and bet the river. I don't want to prematurely fold a worse hand on the turn, and I need to get to a showdown here cheaply if I'm behind. Yes?

[Anders_G]

i'd prolly fold, given villains passiveness and the small size of the pot.

[UncleSalty]

Fold flop, or turn?

[Danenania]

I play it like you did. Unless he never bluffs or bets A-high on paired flops--then you can fold the turn. A river bet has negative value.

[Anders_G]

[ QUOTE ]
Fold flop, or turn?

[/ QUOTE ]

fold turn

[Nietzsche]

[ QUOTE ]
I play it like you did. Unless he never bluffs or bets A-high on paired flops--then you can fold the turn. A river bet has negative value.

[/ QUOTE ]
I don't see how it has negative value. This check screams A high IMO and he will call with that, maybe even K high. If he raises it is an easy fold.

[UncleSalty]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I play it like you did. Unless he never bluffs or bets A-high on paired flops--then you can fold the turn. A river bet has negative value.

[/ QUOTE ]
I don't see how it has negative value. This check screams A high IMO and he will call with that, maybe even K high. If he raises it is an easy fold.

[/ QUOTE ]

This is what I was thinking too. My feeling is that a .8 AF coupled with a VP$IP that high is actually not that passive. As it happens, villains AF is now up to about 1.4 after 50 more hands so my initial read wasn't as trustworthy as I thought.

Villain turned over A5 and MHIG.

Thanks all for the comments.

[Danenania]

Why does it scream A-high? I think it screams "3 that is afraid of the 6" or "PP that is afraid of the J". His flop and turn bets certainly didn't scream A-high did they?

[Nietzsche]

Not saying definitely A high, just the chance is somewhat higher than a 3. 3-ways even passives bet A high on a flop like this knowing they likely have the best hand.

[Danenania]

It's certainly a possibility which is why I plan to see a showdown from the moment of his turn bet. But I don't think he has A-high or worse anywhere close to 50% here when he calls on the river.

[RunDownHouse]

If your stat read is worthless, don't bother posting it. Post your table reads instead.

[me454555]

I agree w/your analysis. You can't fold the turn w/a board like that but once villain checks you have to be that river