SNG analisys (confusing)

[Karaja]

150\300 4 players

UTG 1300
Hero 1600
SB 1600
BB 3500

Hero is first to act with A7o

I thought it is an autopush & actually I pushed.

But when I run this situation through the SNG powertools
assuming that SB will call with the average range 77+ A9+ and the bb (big stack) with the loose range 22+ A2+ KQ,KJs that imo is quite reasonable it says that pushing here has - 0,2 $EV. I was very suprised with that results & still think this is a push hand.

May be I'm missing something.

Please tell me could smb lay this hand down?

Any comments of this situation would be interesting for me.
TY

[Paulson]

First of all, Im assuming you are not first to act, and UTG has actually folded already.

You didn't mention the buy in, but I would put the big stack on a tighter range of hands. Even doing so, it looks pretty close. If instead you were the SB, a push would definitely be in order.

The presence of the shorter stack is what makes this a bad push. If instead you had 1300, and UTG had 1600, this would turn it into a positive push.

[tigerite]

I don't think SB calls with that wide a range, personally. More like top 10%.

[ QUOTE ]
I don't think SB calls with that wide a range, personally. More like top 10%.

[/ QUOTE ]

[GrekeHaus]

I ran this through eastbay's program as well and got it as a +0.6% edge. Are you sure you didn't mess something up?

I push this every time.

[tigerite]

He might be using the new one with Equity Modelling, which will therefore give UTG's stack as slightly less than 1300, because he has to take a hit from the SB and BB in the next two hands?