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View Full Version : A 10 on bubble vs bigstack... push?


Beavemonk
08-19-2005, 12:44 AM
$10+1 Read on bigstack is that he has been very conservative on the bubble, even with the bigstack.
***** Hand History for Game 2558137167 *****
150/300 Tourney Texas Hold'em Game Table (NL) (Tournament 14957559) - Thu Aug 18 21:18:02 EDT 2005
Table Table 35247 (Real Money) -- Seat 5 is the button
Total number of players : 4
Seat 4: bagle1279 (970)
Seat 5: Posteve (840)
Seat 8: Beavemonk (1125)
Seat 9: GmoneySS (5065)
Beavemonk posts small blind (75)
GmoneySS posts big blind (150)
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to Beavemonk [ Ad, Td ]
bagle1279 folds.
Posteve folds.
Beavemonk....?

I am very insecure about my bubble play because I'm new to SNGs and im learning. My thinking is that i probably have the best hand. Ive seen calls from 22+, Ax, Kx, Q8+ here so I'm a 60/40 favorite if he does call. Since he's the bigstack the chances of him calling are greater, but he hasnt called all-ins from teh shorter stacks until now, but he has moved in himself. I havent put myself in a very good position so far. The blinds will come around to the other 2 shorter stacks, and if they make it through their next blinds I'm thinking all of a sudden I have a lot more pressure. Having said that Im thinking maybe this is the best shot i'll get to steal the blinds, since i have to go through the bigstack to steal any blinds at this point anyway. Is this one of those spots where i simply wait and hope somebody else busts before me?

RicP
08-19-2005, 02:59 AM
Even if he's calling with the best 60% of hands this is a +0.7% push.

60% = 22+,A2+,K2+,Q2+,J5o+,J2s+,T7o+,T5s+,98o,96s+,87s


One thing that has really helped me with SNG Power Tools is playing (i.e. pushing) from the SB