View Full Version : Flop Bluff
Danenania
08-17-2005, 05:31 PM
SB is tag and solid. About 25/18/2.9. UTG is a big lag preflop but quite weak and passive postflop. Button is a lag preflop and postflop.
Party Poker 10/20 Hold'em (6 max, 5 handed) converter (http://www.selachian.com/tools/bisonconverter/hhconverter.cgi)
Preflop: Hero is BB with 5/images/graemlins/heart.gif, 6/images/graemlins/spade.gif. MP posts a blind of $10.
<font color="#CC3333">UTG raises</font>, MP (poster) calls, Button calls, SB calls, Hero calls.
Flop: (10 SB) T/images/graemlins/heart.gif, Q/images/graemlins/spade.gif, Q/images/graemlins/club.gif <font color="#0000FF">(5 players)</font>
SB checks, Hero checks, UTG checks, MP checks, <font color="#CC3333">Button bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">SB raises</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero 3-bets...
I see the rationale, as SB probably has a T or pocket pair that he's capable of folding and button (most of the time) has nothing or a pair that he can fold.
I would never think to do this, but I guess it could be correct.
ZZZ
web page (http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/showflat.php?Cat=&Number=3158659&page=0&view=expan ded&sb=5&o=14&fpart=)
Danenania
08-17-2005, 05:44 PM
Lol. I did think about that post for a few seconds before acting. That's why I'm posting it to see if I broke my vow.
I think this move has terrible risk/reward ratio.
You'll need to fire more if somebody has KJ, etc
Danenania
08-17-2005, 05:56 PM
[ QUOTE ]
I think this move has terrible risk/reward ratio.
You'll need to fire more if somebody has KJ, etc
[/ QUOTE ]
How often do you think it works? All I need is around 20%.
Yes but you could do this FPS when your hand is not a trash like this (like if you had A9 in this hand). Your only chance here is to win uncontested.
JrJordan
08-17-2005, 06:04 PM
[ QUOTE ]
Yes but you could do this FPS when your hand is not a trash like this (like if you had A9 in this hand). Your only chance here is to win uncontested.
[/ QUOTE ]
A9 will have to play this nearly the same way. Only way he wins at a showdown is vs. SB's KJ that he can check through the river with position.
I just wanted to say that I'd prefer a hand that has outs against a T. (3 outer pair + runner-runner straight in my example)
Guy McSucker
08-17-2005, 06:10 PM
I don't think many people play a Q this way, and I think everybody thinks the same, so I don't think anyone folds a made hand here. You're going to have to hope they're drawing and that they don't hit their draw or any pair, and bet every street. Yuck.
Guy.
Lmn55d
08-17-2005, 06:19 PM
you did
Michael Davis
08-17-2005, 06:36 PM
Yeah, you're getting called down by any T here and probably even the AJ that takes two off looking for a gutshot and blanks out. Of course, you have outs against him.
-Michael
Danenania
08-17-2005, 06:53 PM
Okay. Well, it worked, they both folded, but no one seems to like it. This isn't the kind of thing I ever do but it seemed so clear to me that SB had a T or PP (with a PP being much much more likely) that I decided I had the odds since Button would usually have nothing.
Actually it still makes sense to me, even though some posters I respect are disagreeing with me. I think it would probably work like 1/3 of the time and I only need 1/5. Hmm..
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