Bubble.. Weak Tight..

[nate_king1]

***** Hand History for Game 2536086659 *****
NL Texas Hold'em $10 Buy-in + $1 Entry Fee Trny:14844044 Level:4 Blinds(50/100) - Sunday, August 14, 20:33:30 EDT 2005
Table Table 39775 (Real Money)
Seat 3 is the button
Total number of players : 6
Seat 2: RandomRock ( $2520 )
Seat 3: questforfire ( $1615 )
Seat 6: Marginator ( $470 )
Seat 8: FlagDay1944 ( $1430 )
Seat 9: slow777 ( $565 )
Seat 10: thebucchuck ( $1400 )
Trny:14844044 Level:4
Blinds(50/100)
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to slow777 [ 4d 4s ]
slow777....

Typical 11s players.

[tigerite]

You're not on the bubble.. it's 6 handed.. and I push this every time

[niquewon]

In my opinion this is a clear push.

[HighestCard]

I'd have to fold here because the 11 players will call you down with coin flips in a heart beat, and you might get multipule callers at that. (Then again im probably weak tight also) /images/graemlins/grin.gif. This is an easy push if you were on the CO, button or in blinds...

I would have to wait and hope I catch something within the next 3 hands..

[nate_king1]

[ QUOTE ]
In my opinion this is a clear push.

[/ QUOTE ]

See its not that clear to me.

[tigerite]

[ QUOTE ]
I'd have to fold here because the 11 players will call you down with coin flips in a heart beat, and you might get multipule callers at that. (Then again im probably week tight also) /images/graemlins/grin.gif. This is an easy push if you were on the CO, button or in blinds...

I would have to wait and hope I catch something within the next 3 hands..

[/ QUOTE ]

The point is you have 5.5bb and are about to take a big hit from the blinds. I think that pushing 44 here is probably marginally -EV but going through the blinds is bound to be more so. I don't care if they do call with a coinflip, to be honest, you're going to need some luck to win the SNG from here, whatever you do.

[lastchance]

I Push here, and while my instincts aren't great about this situation, I think it's pretty clear.

[Freudian]

With a stack of 5.5bb and you are about to eat the blinds you have to push any pair.

[FlyWf]

You don't mind a 55/45 here, you have 5 BB.

[HighestCard]

[ QUOTE ]
You don't mind a 55/45 here, you have 5 BB.

[/ QUOTE ]

I agree with this, but at the 11's people will call with their a8 suited from the co, and the bb likes to call with alot less of a hand because of his "increased odds." Looking at the stacks again this is probably less likely because its 1/3 of most players stack. Im just trying not to go along with the push blindly crowd, although in this situation its an easier push than i first assumed.

[jeffraider]

It is a marginal push, +.3% in SNG PT, but factoring in the blinds next hand and the fact that you'd love to be a 55% favourite to double up with your short stack I think it moves into clear push territory.

[HighestCard]

[ QUOTE ]
It is a marginal push, +.3% in SNG PT, but factoring in the blinds next hand and the fact that you'd love to be a 55% favourite to double up with your short stack I think it moves into clear push territory.

[/ QUOTE ]

At what level did you put the villians call ranges?

[Uppercut]

[ QUOTE ]
I agree with this, but at the 11's people will call with their a8 suited from the co, and the bb likes to call with alot less of a hand because of his "increased odds." Looking at the stacks again this is probably less likely because its 1/3 of most players stack. Im just trying not to go along with the push blindly crowd, although in this situation its an easier push than I first assumed.

[/ QUOTE ]

Since I am so short-stacked, I will take a coin flip against A8o every time, because what I really need to do here is double-up. So I push here every time.

[HighestCard]

[ QUOTE ]
Since I am so short-stacked, I will take a coin flip against A8o every time, because what I really need to do here is double-up. So I push here every time.


[/ QUOTE ]

Like I said, i take the coin flip every time also... Its the 3rd person comming into the pot that concerns me. Which in this situation isnt too great, but in others could be a problem.