Would you make this push?

[DMACM]

Is this a push 100% of the time?



NL Texas Hold'em $10 Buy-in + $1
Blinds(250/500) - 2005

Seat 1 is the button
Total number of players : 4
Seat 1: jsoihlnk21 ( $2550 )
Seat 3: ME ( $1575 )
Seat 7: iamkarl ( $3755 )
Seat 8: balsy_bitch ( $120 )
Trny:14773667 Level:9
Blinds(250/500)
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to ME [ 3c 3d ]
balsy_bitch folds.
jsoihlnk21 folds.
ME ????

[citanul]

er, i think i fold here 100% of the time. i could be wrong though, but i don't think so.

citanul

[BadMongo]

The shorty is in the BB next hand and will have to survive two consecutive all-ins before you post again. You don't have a lot of FE against the big stack here, and if you are called your are a coinflip at best to not go out in 4th. Definately a fold.

[citanul]

[ QUOTE ]
The shorty is in the BB next hand and will have to survive two consecutive all-ins before you post again. You don't have a lot of FE against the big stack here, and if you are called your are a coinflip at best to not go out in 4th. Definately a fold.

[/ QUOTE ]

well done sir.

citanul

[UVaHoo]

Agree with folding, though I had to think about it. If the short stack had even a few more chips, I might be more inclined to push. But, as it is, even if he doubles up in the bb, he's going to be all-in in the sb. If you were going to be big blind next hand instead, I might be more inclined to push. As it is, however, I'm going to say fold.

[DMACM]

I folded but SNGPT on a maniac range says push I was going through past tournys. I was ready to disagree with you all but I think given that shorty must win 2 to live makes this hand a great example of one of ICM's limitations. I should have looked at the hand more closely before I posted. Thanks.