Hit set, but I don't like it. [Archive] - Two Plus Two Older Archives

View Full Version : Hit set, but I don't like it.

kongo_totte

08-05-2005, 12:02 AM

Villian is 27/2 after 80 hands.

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (9 handed) converter (http://www.selachian.com/tools/bisonconverter/hhconverter.cgi)

MP2 ($49.50)
Hero ($80.65)
CO ($75.05)
Button ($33.50)
SB ($71.25)
BB ($24.50)
UTG ($84.30)
UTG+1 ($79.75)
MP1 ($31.04)

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with Q/images/graemlins/diamond.gif, Q/images/graemlins/club.gif. SB posts a blind of $0.25.
1 fold, UTG+1 calls $0.50, 1 fold, MP2 calls $0.50, Hero raises to $3, 2 folds, SB (poster) calls $2.75, 1 fold, UTG+1 calls $2.50, MP2 calls $2.50.

Flop: ($12.50) 9/images/graemlins/heart.gif, T/images/graemlins/diamond.gif, 8/images/graemlins/spade.gif (4 players)
SB checks, UTG+1 checks, MP2 checks, Hero bets $10, SB calls $10, UTG+1 folds, MP2 folds.

Turn: ($32.50) Q/images/graemlins/spade.gif (2 players)
SB calls $58.25 (All-In), Hero does what now?

stu-unger

08-05-2005, 12:15 AM

hero goes home and cries to mama!!

u cant even think about calling this IMO. youve shown strength and this guy just open pushed into u for a massive over bet. i dont see many overbets like this being air at this level.

kongo_totte

08-05-2005, 12:17 AM

Yes, but a set might also take this line, yes? Putting me on an over pair. Then again, he might think I might have hit the quuen, and is sure I will call him with top set (when he has the straight).

ajmargarine

08-05-2005, 12:26 AM

Well, you do have 10 outs. /images/graemlins/tongue.gif

I fold and am glad he didn't c/r me with his jack, or else I would have been all-in.

stu-unger

08-05-2005, 12:34 AM

kongo i wasnt saying u r always beat here. i was just saying that this isnt the spot to find out if u r beat.

kongo_totte

08-05-2005, 12:38 AM

Of course, I folded. After all, I think I am known as the most weak-tight player on these boards /images/graemlins/laugh.gif.

awarunn

08-05-2005, 12:41 AM

I'd let this one go. I don't see any evidence that you have him beat....other than you have a set of queens. But his actions are screaming "I just made my straight!" Let it go and save $58.

ajmargarine

08-05-2005, 12:47 AM

I don't think you are always beat here either. I just think you are beat enough times to make this a -EV call over the long run. Pot is giving you terrible odds with villian's overbet. It's a horrible way to play a straight, but I think I have to give him credit for one and cut my losses.

Mercman572

08-05-2005, 01:32 AM

[ QUOTE ]
Of course, I folded. After all, I think I am known as the most weak-tight player on these boards /images/graemlins/laugh.gif.

[/ QUOTE ]

i've noticed that, mind posting your winrate? Iceman5 claims over at BTP.com that he was railed for being weaktight on these forums but has a ptbb 10/100 at some high stake (don't remember which but I think it was 600)

kongo_totte

08-05-2005, 01:35 AM

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Of course, I folded. After all, I think I am known as the most weak-tight player on these boards /images/graemlins/laugh.gif.

[/ QUOTE ]

i've noticed that, mind posting your winrate? Iceman5 claims over at BTP.com that he was railed for being weaktight on these forums but has a ptbb 10/100 at some high stake (don't remember which but I think it was 600)

[/ QUOTE ]

I can tell you one thing. The last couple of months I have become less weak-tight after being berated here multiple times for it, and my winrate has dropped along with my weak-tightness.

BACK TO WEAK-TIGHT

xorbie

08-05-2005, 02:43 AM

FWIW, this is a fold even against me. But man do I love pushing in these situations with 77.