Is this Blind steal correct? If not please explain

[A_PLUS]

Ok, to me this looks like an unexploitable blind steal in terms of $EV. The only way I could see folding this would be if you think that picking up small amounts of $EV here arent worth the risk b/c we can use our stack size for much larger +EV bets later, where an extra 75 chips wont matter, but losing 150 will.

This is the hand in question from 20+2$

Blinds 25/50 EDIT
Seat 6 is the button
Total number of players : 6
Seat 1: (1195)
Seat 4: (270)
Seat 6: Hero(1590)
Seat 7: SB(1310)
Seat 9: BB(1600)
Seat 10:(2035)

Dealt to Hero [ 8c, Ac ]

Folded to hero on the button. Blinds have both been unremarkable, and I think AT+, 55+ is a reasonable range. But Even if we assume that the Villans can see our cards and will only call with A9+ and 22+ (At least equity neutral hands). We will only be called apx 20% of the time.

Now, our $EV is 39.60$
If we steal the blinds, it will be 41.01$
If we lose 150 chips trying, 36.71

.8*41.01 + .20* 36.71 = 40.15$, which > 39.60$

I have been passing up the edges recently, and was wondering what you think about pursuing them?

I'm sorry, blinds are 25/50, not 50/100. I would definitely be stealing if they were 50/100.

[TheSalche]

forget the math for a second, stacks you are stealing against, both of them have a healthy stack relative to the blinds, and if theyve been playing with any sort of thought the might give up a lot more than you think ... this is a great spot to steal, id bump it to 300 without even thinking most of the time

[Newt_Buggs]

your hand is definitly too good to fold here, raise to 150