View Full Version : Theoretical situation
EnderFFX
07-27-2005, 01:47 PM
BB - with KK first hand.
Every player pushes all in.
Your move and reasoning? Is AA an automatic push?
DrButch
07-27-2005, 01:58 PM
Quick Monte Carlo Approximation yields that KK is about 26% to win or tie. Having AA raises that to 30%.
If you stay out, there's about a 99% chance that you're in the money. The chance that two or more people tie is about 0.85%.
So if you go in with KK, only 26% chance of ITM. If you stay out, 99% chance that you're ITM. I'd stay out (for once going against the "play for first place" mentality of 2+2).
Nicholasp27
07-27-2005, 02:05 PM
i'd fold
i'd take the most-likely 2nd place (3rd if one tie, etc etc)
with 10/15 blinds, u can play some poker and even that chip stack out with a lil luck and get first...more likely that u get first by folding and then playing hu with those blinds than u get first by calling (25%ish, 30%ish for aa)
so i fold *gasp* aa in this situation
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