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View Full Version : Play at the pot, LIVE tournament


winky51
07-23-2005, 03:30 PM
Playing in the last half of the tournament at a casino, 60 of 170 people left.

My image is very tight where players have folded just about everytime I raise. So I stole a few pots with success.

I have 7000 chips.

SB, BB, and EP2 all have around 8000 chips. Blinds are 500/1000

UTG has around 15000 chips and is conservative player.

UTG and EP2 limp in. Neither looked excited about their hands (at this point in the tournament no one is limping with AA or KK any more, blinds too big)

The rest fold to me in the cutoff and I have T9s.

I feel that because of my image and the the fact there were 2 EP conservative players that they probably had all high AJ, KJ, KQ or a pair 88-22. I have not played a hand in a while. When I have I show only good cards. I decide to move all in get the pot and liven my stacks up. I did some number crunching in my head and figured at worse I al 40/60 against 2 overs and 50/50 vs a small pair. The pot has 3500 in it and I had 6500 so someobe calling would fill the pot to 11000 for my 6500. I figure if someone calls some of their cards are dead because of all the high card limpers.

This table was being raised every round. In one more spin I would have been down to 5x the BB. The blinds were close to going up. I might not have made it to the next BB before it hit 1000/2000. So I decided to make a move at the pot.

Reasonable or too bold play?

RESULTS in white
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The SB decides to call without thought for almost all his chips and all else fold. He shows KQ. Guess I give these players too much credit for higher level thinking. He flops the straight (JT9) board and beats my 2 pair.

I thought my play was reasonable considering the players, the limping, and my image. If I hit I would be good to go for a loooong time. Till then I have played only 7 hands, 2 were steals with crap. Tournament had been going on for 2:45 mins.

I ran some simulations vs 2 overcards removing an A, K, Q, J and T from the deck. I was still 40% there. If both my cards were in neither of the EP players hands then Id be 43% vs overcards.

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jrforman
07-23-2005, 05:27 PM
Considering reads and image I think pushing here is +EV...I don't understand though why you would rule out players limping big hands in early position. My experience, albeit mostly online, with the blinds relatively high in proportion to stacks, this is the optimal time for players to limp reraise big hands. I would watch out for that in the future, in case this is what happened to you this time around.

winky51
07-23-2005, 09:04 PM
it was a live tournament and I knew the players and how they players. Late they raise it up. they stop limping. I considered it but there is a certain look people have when they limp. Neither had it and I thought my read was correct. With their 7-9x the BB I dont think they would risk limping and losing with AA or KK.

Oh well. Can't believe the BB called. I put a lot of thought into the play.