Bubble Poll... Call or Fold?

[Deuce2High]

Level:7 Blinds(150/300)
Seat 9 is the button
Total number of players : 4
Seat 2: Sandbagger27 ( $2175 )
Seat 3: Magellan9111 ( $2645 )
Seat 9: Silentthundr ( $3405 )
Seat 10: AllInLuckBot ( $1775 )
Blinds(150/300)
Dealt to AllInLuckBot [ Ad Qd ]
Magellan9111 folds.
Silentthundr is all-In [3405]

Villian isn't retarded but I'm not so sure he's the best player in the world either. Assume he's an average 109 player that has a typical idea of how to play the bubble but is no genius.

[pergesu]

I'm pretty sure folding here is atrocious.

edit: If you're willing to fold AQs here, he is correct to push any two.

[microbet]

$EV fold = .192
$EV call and win = .325
You need to win 59% of the time here.

I think you're there. Call.

[JayKon]

Call because its a good hand and I want to win, not take 3rd. If you bust, you bust. Move on.

[Freudian]

[ QUOTE ]
Call because its a good hand and I want to win, not take 3rd. If you bust, you bust. Move on.

[/ QUOTE ]

Even more important is the stack sizes. Most likely Hero needs to win a showdown to feel comfortable here. AQs definately does well enough at showdown for it to be worth a call here.

[johnnybeef]

this one is very dependent upon his range, which is tough for me to do without actually being at the table. that being said, my standard play would be to call, due to the fact that most players will be pushing a wide range of hands.

[skierdude1000]

def call unless you think you'll get a better hand soon

[pergesu]

[ QUOTE ]
def call unless you think you'll get a better hand soon

[/ QUOTE ]
Okay I gotta ask...is this serious?

How could you possibly know/think/feel/speculate the quality of hands you'll receive in the short period of time that is the remainder of a tourney?

[45suited]

[ QUOTE ]
How could you possibly know/think/feel/speculate the quality of hands you'll receive in the short period of time that is the remainder of a tourney?

[/ QUOTE ]

Cuz we just found out today that the seats are rigged in online poker. Duh!

[trdi]

Seat 10 : fold
Other seats : call
(Seat 7 & my cheat code : call, it's a guaranteed royal flush)

[raptor517]

if hes good at all, hes pushing a huge amount of hands from that button. this is an EASY call imo. holla

[skierdude1000]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
def call unless you think you'll get a better hand soon

[/ QUOTE ]
Okay I gotta ask...is this serious?

How could you possibly know/think/feel/speculate the quality of hands you'll receive in the short period of time that is the remainder of a tourney?

[/ QUOTE ]

Whoa there... relax. All I was saying was that it's not likely he will get a better hand than that soon and that now is the time for him to put in his chips. Obviously you can't foresee the future, but you can know that its not likely to get much better than AQ when you have under 10x BB

[raptor517]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
def call unless you think you'll get a better hand soon

[/ QUOTE ]
Okay I gotta ask...is this serious?

How could you possibly know/think/feel/speculate the quality of hands you'll receive in the short period of time that is the remainder of a tourney?

[/ QUOTE ]

Whoa there... relax. All I was saying was that it's not likely he will get a better hand than that soon and that now is the time for him to put in his chips. Obviously you can't foresee the future, but you can know that its not likely to get much better than AQ when you have under 10x BB

[/ QUOTE ]

keep in mind.. its not always about how good yer hand is in tournament poker. holla

[morgan180]

[ QUOTE ]
I'm pretty sure folding here is atrocious.

edit: If you're willing to fold AQs here, he is correct to push any two.

[/ QUOTE ]