AQ facing a raise

[schwza]

i didn't know what to make of the pfr. my PT stats on him showed 1 raise in 65 hands, and that raise happened a few hands ago. there was a raise to 100 at the 15/30 and a cold-call, and villain pushes from the BB with KTs for 500 total.

don't remember reads on the reraiser. comments on both actions appreciated.

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t50 (8 handed) converter (http://www.selachian.com/tools/bisonconverter/hhconverter.cgi)

SB (t520)
BB (t1730)
UTG (t640)
UTG+1 (t935)
MP1 (t965)
MP2 (t685)
CO (t1740)
Hero (t785)

Preflop: Hero is Button with A/images/graemlins/diamond.gif, Q/images/graemlins/spade.gif.
<font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP1 raises to t100</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, Hero calls t100, <font color="#CC3333">SB raises to t520 (All-In)</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, MP1 calls t420, Hero ?

[Sabrazack]

I fold this after MP1 has raised it. After SB pushes and MP1 calls, i fold it without thinking twice. I dont like overcalling people who just coldcalled half their stack.

[durron597]

With those PT stats I think this is a muck. After the SB push and the MP flatcall this is an instamuck.

[schwza]

in retrospect, i like the line of folding to the first raise.

i folded to the second one, and the pfr has KQs and the pusher has 77. i was surprised to see i wasn't even 1/3 to win:

cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
Ac Qh 432950 31.58 925693 67.53 12111 0.88 0.320
Ks Qs 356348 26.00 1002295 73.12 12111 0.88 0.264
7c 7d 569345 41.54 798018 58.22 3391 0.25 0.416

[morgan180]

[ QUOTE ]
With those PT stats I think this is a muck. After the SB push and the MP flatcall this is an instamuck.

[/ QUOTE ]