Question for when u put opp on high pair.

[rid.br]

Let's say that you know ur opponent has AA, KK, QQ or JJ.
You have AA. The game is NL holdem.

The flop comes: Q x x
And there is a lot of action.

I was thinking. There are 6 combinations of him having KK. And 3 combinations of him having QQ.

My question is: The chance of him having KK is just 2 times bigger than him having QQ ? Like 2-1 ??? Because i know the odds of someone flopping a set are like 7.5-1 and it seems weird that the chance of him having a set (after the flop)is just 1/2 the chance of having overpair (KK).

The same quesion applies for other boards, like: J x x
or: Q J x

Thank you in advance. And i'm sorry if this is a trivial question. But i'm really confused.

[OrianasDaad]

If you can put your opponent on a tight range of hands like that, then figuring it is pretty easy.

Qxx
AA- 1
KK- 6
QQ- 3
JJ- 6

You beat 12 hands and lose to 3 (and tie one), so you are a 4-1 favorite.

His odds to hit a set on this flop are 4-1. His odds to hit a set on any flop are about 7.5-1 or so.

Jxx board is the same.

QJx
AA- 1
KK- 6
QQ- 3
JJ- 3

You are behind 6 ways, and ahead 6 ways. 1-1 on that flop.