jtr
07-19-2005, 09:49 PM
Party Poker ($100 6 max, 6 handed) converter (http://www.selachian.com/tools/bisonconverter/hhconverter.cgi)
Villain is UTG, and he is 60% VPIP, 6% PFR, 1.37 postflop aggression, and 28% went to showdown. (But all these numbers have to be taken with a pinch of salt as they're only over 50 hands.)
Preflop: Hero is SB with J/images/graemlins/spade.gif, 8/images/graemlins/heart.gif.
4 limpers to me, I complete. BB checks.
Flop: 8/images/graemlins/club.gif, J/images/graemlins/club.gif, A/images/graemlins/heart.gif <font color="#0000FF">(6 players)</font>
Pot now $6 (less some rake).
I bet my two pair for $5. UTG calls, all others fold.
Turn: 5/images/graemlins/spade.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Pot now $16 less rake.
It seems likely that UTG has a flush draw, so I bet again, $12, and UTG calls.
River: 7/images/graemlins/spade.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Pot is now $40 less rake.
So, his flush didn't arrive. If I'm right, he won't have anything to call with, so let's check to induce a bluff. He may try to represent T9 or 64 for the straight.
Hero checks, UTG bets $50. That's a little higher than I thought he would bet but it looks like he may not want to be called. So I call.
Results unimportant, but I'd appreciate any comments on the line.
Bet sizes on flop and turn OK?
Does anyone prefer a value bet on the river, on the chance he has AK or similar? (Of course, if he's been slowplaying AJ or a set I am toast, but they seem unlikely.)
Does the $50 bet smell like a successfully induced bluff to you? Or should we suspect that he had an OESD with T9 after all? Villain is pretty loose and may have called with all sorts of hands.
Thanks for any comments.
Villain is UTG, and he is 60% VPIP, 6% PFR, 1.37 postflop aggression, and 28% went to showdown. (But all these numbers have to be taken with a pinch of salt as they're only over 50 hands.)
Preflop: Hero is SB with J/images/graemlins/spade.gif, 8/images/graemlins/heart.gif.
4 limpers to me, I complete. BB checks.
Flop: 8/images/graemlins/club.gif, J/images/graemlins/club.gif, A/images/graemlins/heart.gif <font color="#0000FF">(6 players)</font>
Pot now $6 (less some rake).
I bet my two pair for $5. UTG calls, all others fold.
Turn: 5/images/graemlins/spade.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Pot now $16 less rake.
It seems likely that UTG has a flush draw, so I bet again, $12, and UTG calls.
River: 7/images/graemlins/spade.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Pot is now $40 less rake.
So, his flush didn't arrive. If I'm right, he won't have anything to call with, so let's check to induce a bluff. He may try to represent T9 or 64 for the straight.
Hero checks, UTG bets $50. That's a little higher than I thought he would bet but it looks like he may not want to be called. So I call.
Results unimportant, but I'd appreciate any comments on the line.
Bet sizes on flop and turn OK?
Does anyone prefer a value bet on the river, on the chance he has AK or similar? (Of course, if he's been slowplaying AJ or a set I am toast, but they seem unlikely.)
Does the $50 bet smell like a successfully induced bluff to you? Or should we suspect that he had an OESD with T9 after all? Villain is pretty loose and may have called with all sorts of hands.
Thanks for any comments.