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View Full Version : Using Statistical Indicators to Sway a Turn Decision


donger
07-14-2005, 03:36 PM
Here's a hand I misplayed pretty badly last night. I was tired, and opponents and tendencies were starting to run together. Boy, howdy, I wasn't going to let a little thing like that stop me!
http://www.keepsaketouchstones.com/Images/donkey.gif
That's what landed me in this situation, calling down middle pair vs a 40/2/.5 little-old-lady type.

My question is.. what PT statistical red flags might sway this decision?

Here's an example, and this may not even be right:
Example: high VP$IP, WTSD and super high turn AF (always tries to outplay on the turn and bluffs river when called).
Party Poker 5/10 Hold'em (6 max, 5 handed) converter (http://www.selachian.com/tools/bisonconverter/hhconverter.cgi)

Preflop:Retard is SB with Q/images/graemlins/heart.gif, A/images/graemlins/diamond.gif.
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, MP calls, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Retard raises</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, MP calls.

Flop: (5 SB) 4/images/graemlins/spade.gif, K/images/graemlins/heart.gif, 7/images/graemlins/heart.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Retard bets</font>, MP calls.

Turn: (3.50 BB) Q/images/graemlins/club.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Retard bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP raises</font>, Retard calls.

River: (7.50 BB) T/images/graemlins/spade.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Retard checks, <font color="#CC3333">MP bets</font>, Retard calls.

Final Pot: 9.50 BB