View Full Version : What is wrong with my calculations?
Schizo
07-12-2005, 11:00 PM
10 outs/(46-10) = 0.27777777777777
yet
Board: 7s 2c 9c 8c
Dead:
equity (%) win (%) / tie (%)
Hand 1: 77.2727 % [ 00.77 00.00 ] { AcKc }
Hand 2: 22.7273 % [ 00.23 00.00 ] { 7h7d }
It's off by 4%.
Weatherhead03
07-12-2005, 11:22 PM
Could be that you used the wrong number in 46...I believe it should be 44...52-2(ak)50-2(77)48-4(7298)=44
bambi
07-13-2005, 12:41 AM
What 10 outs do you have? i get 8
BruceZ
07-13-2005, 12:42 AM
[ QUOTE ]
What 10 outs do you have? i get 8
[/ QUOTE ]
three 2s + three 8s + three 9s + one 7 = 10.
Schizo
07-13-2005, 02:23 PM
[ QUOTE ]
Could be that you used the wrong number in 46...I believe it should be 44...52-2(ak)50-2(77)48-4(7298)=44
[/ QUOTE ]
That makes it even worse. 10/34 = 0.29
Another stove:
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt
44 games 0.005 secs 8,800 games/sec
Board: Tc 3c 6h 7c
Dead:
equity (%) win (%) / tie (%)
Hand 1: 77.2727 % [ 00.77 00.00 ] { AcQc }
Hand 2: 22.7273 % [ 00.23 00.00 ] { ThTd }
Why is pokerstove so far off?
Schizo
07-13-2005, 02:25 PM
Odd, BruceZ why did you respond to his basic question (which is in almost every poker book) and not mine?
I thought you were the all knowing probablility master!
gergery
07-13-2005, 02:40 PM
[ QUOTE ]
Why is pokerstove so far off?
[/ QUOTE ]
It's not
10/44 = 22.72%
BruceZ
07-13-2005, 06:35 PM
[ QUOTE ]
Odd, BruceZ why did you respond to his basic question (which is in almost every poker book) and not mine?
[/ QUOTE ]
Weatherhead had already responded by the time I saw it, but bambi's question came up while I was reading.
Like others have said, 10 outs divided by 44 unseen cards = 22.7273%, in agreement with Poker Stove. You were subtracting 10 from the denominator. That would give you odds, not probability in percent.
bambi
07-13-2005, 07:34 PM
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
What 10 outs do you have? i get 8
[/ QUOTE ]
three 2s + three 8s + three 9s + one 7 = 10.
[/ QUOTE ]
i knew it wouldnt belong before i embarresed myself on the forums, didnt see the three clubs down.
i guess thats a good way to get no one to raead your posts
You do not subtract 10 from the demonator. It is 10/44=22.72%
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