Bubble busting hands

[brimstone1]

I'm done cloaking my name, here are the hands I busted out with today, let me know what you think, these are pretty good examples of how I've been busting recently.

This may at first smell like a bad beat post, but believe me, its not. These are the situations in which I've been busting out, and I think I'm pushing in the wrong spot, with the wrong hands, or towards the wrong opponents.


Hand number 1
osudrinker had been the classic over-aggressive big stack, pushing, limping and calling with BS.

Seat 10 is the button
Total number of players : 5
Seat 1: unccnu ( $955 )
Seat 2: CactusSlim ( $1670 )
Seat 4: oharabus ( $1295 )
Seat 5: osudrinker ( $3235 )
Seat 10: Poorman1001 ( $845 )
Trny:13867386 Level:5
Blinds(75/150)
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to unccnu [ Ah Kd ]
oharabus folds.
osudrinker calls [150].
Poorman1001 folds.
unccnu is all-In [880]
CactusSlim folds.
osudrinker calls [805].
** Dealing Flop ** [ Qh, 9s, Ts ]
** Dealing Turn ** [ As ]
** Dealing River ** [ Qs ]
<font color="white">
unccnu shows [ Ah, Kd ] two pairs, aces and queens.
osudrinker shows [ Ad, 4s ] a flush, ace high.
osudrinker wins 2060 chips from the main pot with a flush, ace high.
</font>
unccnu finished in fifth place.

Hand number 2

Here, PellePolis was the over-aggressive big stack, same situation.

Table Table 39771 (Real Money)
Seat 7 is the button
Total number of players : 4
Seat 2: BestHand06 ( $355 )
Seat 6: PellePolis ( $5870 )
Seat 7: unccnu ( $495 )
Seat 8: newbs1mom ( $1280 )
Trny:13867320 Level:5
Blinds(75/150)
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to unccnu [ Qd Kd ]
PellePolis raises [300].
unccnu is all-In [495]
newbs1mom folds.
BestHand06 folds.
PellePolis calls [195].
** Dealing Flop ** [ 2d, 3s, 8s ]
** Dealing Turn ** [ 7d ]
&gt;You have options at Table 39773 Table!.
** Dealing River ** [ 5h ]
<font color="white">
PellePolis shows [ 8h, Kh ] a pair of eights.
unccnu shows [ Qd, Kd ] high card king.
PellePolis wins 1215 chips from the main pot with a pair of eights.
</font>
unccnu finished in fourth place.



Hand number 3

This isn't the hand I busted out with, but it lead to my demise, and looking at it now, it was played completely wrong, but I thought I had a 90% chance of taking the pot right there and then... again, the big stack vs. me... but I'll let you guys do the talking. What would you have done?


Seat 10 is the button
Total number of players : 8
Seat 1: MS_Agent_86 ( $740 )
Seat 2: mojossi ( $885 )
Seat 4: Big_G_22 ( $745 )
Seat 5: Wubietoo ( $780 )
Seat 8: MajicFlop ( $2705 )
Seat 9: upndown ( $820 )
Seat 3: unccnu ( $705 )
Seat 10: afgjon ( $620 )
Trny:13867442 Level:2
Blinds(15/30)
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to unccnu [ Qh Qc ]
&gt;You have options at Table 17602 Table!.
unccnu raises [100].
Big_G_22 folds.
Wubietoo folds.
MajicFlop raises [170].
upndown folds.
afgjon folds.
MS_Agent_86 folds.
mojossi folds.
unccnu calls [70].
** Dealing Flop ** [ 9d, As, 7c ]
unccnu...?



Hand(s) number 4-5

This was certainly +EV.

Seat 9 is the button
Total number of players : 7
Seat 4: pilotmanxx ( $2235 )
Seat 8: paint1ball ( $305 )
Seat 10: patroyal5555 ( $305 )
Seat 5: unccnu ( $735 )
Seat 2: carquez ( $790 )
Seat 3: chironrsf ( $3175 )
Seat 9: Bambino714 ( $455 )
Trny:13867447 Level:4
Blinds(50/100)
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to unccnu [ Ac Qs ]
chironrsf folds.
pilotmanxx folds.
unccnu is all-In [735]
paint1ball is all-In [305]
Bambino714 folds.
patroyal5555 folds.
carquez folds.
** Dealing Flop ** [ 7h, 9c, 8c ]
** Dealing Turn ** [ Ts ]
** Dealing River ** [ 9h ]
<font color="white">
unccnu shows [ Ac, Qs ] a pair of nines.
paint1ball shows [ Js, As ] a straight, seven to jack.
unccnu wins 430 chips from side pot #1 with a pair of nines.
paint1ball wins 760 chips from the main pot with a straight, seven to jack.
</font>

The very next hand:

Seat 10 is the button
Total number of players : 7
Seat 4: pilotmanxx ( $2235 )
Seat 8: paint1ball ( $760 )
Seat 10: patroyal5555 ( $255 )
Seat 5: unccnu ( $430 )
Seat 2: carquez ( $690 )
Seat 3: chironrsf ( $3175 )
Seat 9: Bambino714 ( $455 )
Trny:13867447 Level:4
Blinds(50/100)
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to unccnu [ Ac Js ]
pilotmanxx folds.
unccnu is all-In [430]
paint1ball folds.
Bambino714 calls [430].
patroyal5555 folds.
carquez folds.
chironrsf folds.
** Dealing Flop ** [ 4h, Qd, Kh ]
** Dealing Turn ** [ Jh ]
** Dealing River ** [ 8c ]
<font color="white">
unccnu shows [ Ac, Js ] a pair of jacks.
Bambino714 shows [ Qc, As ] a pair of queens.
Bambino714 wins 1010 chips from the main pot with a pair of queens.
</font>
unccnu finished in seventh place.

[durron597]

Hand 1: Bad beat police needed
Hand 2: Bad beat police needed
Hand 3: Push to his raise preflop.
Hand 4: Bad beat police needed
Hand 5: Sux to be you!

Thanks for the excellent thread. This is what is called "variance", and why you see excellent players go on downswings.

[tigerite]

1, 4 and 5 are standard, 3 push preflop, 2 is a little trickier, he ain't folding here for sure, and shorty is about to have his stack smashed down by half and then half again through the blinds..

[brimstone1]

Well, paint me blue and call me jesus. (As long as its a valid bad beat, I'm not going to feel bad about it at all)

That makes me feel pretty good.

Are you guys absolutely positive about pushing QQ pre-flop at lvl 1?

[durron597]

[ QUOTE ]
Are you guys absolutely positive about pushing QQ pre-flop at lvl 1?

[/ QUOTE ]

You don't have to *push* necessarily but I'm betting half my stack at least and never folding on the flop.

[45suited]

[ QUOTE ]
Are you guys absolutely positive about pushing QQ pre-flop at lvl 1?

[/ QUOTE ]

Villain's mini re-raise looks suspicious, but I'm not folding to a safe flop (undercards) flop anyway, so if he has aces, you're broke either way. In that spot, with your stack, I'm re-raising all-in without a 2nd thought.

[brimstone1]

Hey there 45suited.

What do you think about this hand?

Seat 9 is the button
Total number of players : 5
Seat 5: Baldbcool ( $1480 )
Seat 9: PotstealerJ ( $2480 )
Seat 8: trewavasae ( $1760 )
Seat 6: unccnu ( $580 )
Seat 1: creamURjeans ( $1700 )
Trny:13869150 Level:4
Blinds(50/100)
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to unccnu [ 9s 9d ]
unccnu is all-In [580]
trewavasae folds.
PotstealerJ calls [580].
creamURjeans folds.
Baldbcool folds.
** Dealing Flop ** [ Kh, As, 8s ]
** Dealing Turn ** [ 6h ]
** Dealing River ** [ 4d ]
<font color="white">
unccnu shows [ 9s, 9d ] a pair of nines.
PotstealerJ shows [ Ad, 5d ] a pair of aces.
PotstealerJ wins 1310 chips from the main pot with a pair of aces.
</font>
unccnu finished in fifth place.

SnGPT says definite push, in fact, EV drops as they tighten up, and rises as they loosen, so its a beyond-must push.

Considering stack sizes and upcoming blinds too, of course.
Actually, here, I think I'm begging for a call, rather than a fold?

[tigerite]

It's an obvious push. And another bad beat.

[brimstone1]

That's good to know, I'm sorry for posting these bad beats, but I really need reassurance on them.

Thanks.

[durron597]

[ QUOTE ]
It's an obvious push. And another bad beat.

[/ QUOTE ]

[gildwulf]

These are all bad beats.

[brimstone1]

Hand number 7

Had 20 left after posting BB after this hand, so I count this one as my busting hand.

Seat 10 is the button
Total number of players : 4
Seat 2: lesnar5767 ( $4690 )
Seat 3: LAKINGS07 ( $960 )
Seat 7: unccnu ( $1280 )
Seat 10: xxcheckraise ( $1070 )
Trny:13863448 Level:7
Blinds(150/300)
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to unccnu [ Qh Ks ]
unccnu is all-In [1280]
xxcheckraise folds.
lesnar5767 folds.
LAKINGS07 is all-In [660]
** Dealing Flop ** [ 4c, 9h, 7c ]
** Dealing Turn ** [ 5h ]
** Dealing River ** [ Kc ]
<font color="white">
unccnu shows [ Qh, Ks ] a pair of kings.
LAKINGS07 shows [ 9c, Kd ] two pairs, kings and nines.
unccnu wins 320 chips from side pot #1 with a pair of kings.
LAKINGS07 wins 2070 chips from the main pot with two pairs, kings and nines.
</font>


Should I just not push this? I'll be left with 800 after posting SB/BB. Should I leave it to luck, and pray they'll fold to me when I'm BB/SB? Doesn't sound like a logical strategy.

[durron597]

You really should change the subject of your post to "bubble busting bad beats".

Stop. Please.

[brimstone1]

Seriously?
So I'm playing excellent, and have just run into bad cards.

Fair enough, I'll stop posting.

[11t]

I should start posting some of my beats, they are far more pwn worthy.

[durron597]

[ QUOTE ]

Fair enough, I'll stop posting.

[/ QUOTE ]

You don't have to stop posting, just stop posting hands where you got the chips in as a 65% or more favorite.

Try this. Go to http://www.twodimes.net/poker

Plug the hand as it was when the chips went in. If you are a 65% favorite or more, don't post the hand.