puzzlemoney
07-08-2005, 01:16 AM
Okay, so Action Dan's '3-to-1 rule' in the Red Zone Strategy chapter states:
<ul type="square">- If your stack is exactly 3 times the size of the pot;
- Nobody else is in the pot;
- An all-in bet will fold remaining opponents 50% of the time; and,
- You're a 2-to-1 dog if called
You can go all in with a positive expectation.[/list]
I did the math for this as follows:
Say the pot is $150 ($100 from BB, $50 from SB) and you have $450; you go all in under the above circumstances.
<ul type="square"> If a non-blind opponent may call (the most money you can win):
EV = .5(150) + .16666(600) + .3333(-450) = 25
If the BB may call (the least money you can win)
EV = .5(150) + .16666(500) + .3333(-450) = 8.33 [/list]
Am I doing this right? Is there an easier way to do it? I assume he lists this rule 'cause it's too complicated to do at the table, or am I the one overcomplicating it?
<ul type="square">- If your stack is exactly 3 times the size of the pot;
- Nobody else is in the pot;
- An all-in bet will fold remaining opponents 50% of the time; and,
- You're a 2-to-1 dog if called
You can go all in with a positive expectation.[/list]
I did the math for this as follows:
Say the pot is $150 ($100 from BB, $50 from SB) and you have $450; you go all in under the above circumstances.
<ul type="square"> If a non-blind opponent may call (the most money you can win):
EV = .5(150) + .16666(600) + .3333(-450) = 25
If the BB may call (the least money you can win)
EV = .5(150) + .16666(500) + .3333(-450) = 8.33 [/list]
Am I doing this right? Is there an easier way to do it? I assume he lists this rule 'cause it's too complicated to do at the table, or am I the one overcomplicating it?