AA vs TAG on scary board

[Ryan11]

Villian is TAG 17.02/12.22


Party Poker 3/6 Hold'em (9 handed) converter (http://www.selachian.com/tools/bisonconverter/hhconverter.cgi)

Preflop: Hero is SB with A/images/graemlins/diamond.gif, A/images/graemlins/heart.gif.
<font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP2(Villian)/ raises</font>, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero 3-bets</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP2(Villian)/ caps</font>, Hero calls.

Flop: (9 SB) 6/images/graemlins/club.gif, K/images/graemlins/club.gif, J/images/graemlins/spade.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, Villian calls.

Turn: (5.50 BB) Q/images/graemlins/diamond.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">Villian bets</font>, Hero calls.

River: (7.50 BB) 5/images/graemlins/club.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">Villian bets</font>, Hero calls.

Final Pot: 9.50 BB


I figure the only hand I am ahead of that he would cap preflop is AK, I am behind most hands he would hold here, so I went into check and call mode. Was this correct or too passive?

[TiltsMcFabulous]

I think it was absolutely the right play, given the flop action. He just calls you, indicating real strength to me. With AK he'd almost certainly raise you. 1010 is a possible holding, but unlikely cap material. I think you're in against JJ or KK, and the turn is even worse for you. TAGs cap on big pairs and raise on K high flops with AK so you might be far behind. A calldown bring the same bets as a bet/calldown from him would bring, which is the best you could hope for anyways. You win about the same when ahead (you certainly don't want to be in a raising war) and lose the least when behind.

~ Tilts

[Ryan11]

If the river was an A what would you do there? You'd be ahead of almost all preflop capping hands except TT and that is an unlikely holding. Raise and then just call if 3-bet?

[gvibes]

[ QUOTE ]
If the river was an A what would you do there? You'd be ahead of almost all preflop capping hands except TT and that is an unlikely holding. Raise and then just call if 3-bet?

[/ QUOTE ]
I personally would be really tempted to cap.

[mdob]

Easy call on the river.
Villain's possible hands: AA (1 combination), KK (3), QQ (3), JJ (3), TT (6), AK (3), AQ clubs (1), AQ spades (1)

OK, TT isn't too likely-- say 1 combo; AK-- say 1 combo also; AQ spades-- reduce to 1/2 combo; AA-- reduce to 1/2 combo. I think that's about as pessimistic a view as is reasonable (no discounting AQc, for example). This range gives you 21% equity, or ~ a 1 in 5 chance to win. You only need 1 in 9.5, so it's an easy call. If there's only one combo of AK, TT, AQ /images/graemlins/spade.gif, and half a combo of AA, you'll win 1 in 9.2-- enough to call.

Easy cap if the A falls. He could be reasonably three-betting with KK, QQ, JJ, AK, AQ, KQ, and TT (granting that AQ, KQ, and TT are less likely) thinking you hit two-pair. You do GREAT against that range. There aren't many tens either of you could have.