River

[PokerBob]

I don't know much about villain other than that he is 33/17/1.24 witha pf CC of 21%.

Party Poker 5/10 Hold'em (6 max, 5 handed) converter (http://www.selachian.com/tools/bisonconverter/hhconverter.cgi)

Preflop: Hero is MP with T/images/graemlins/club.gif, K/images/graemlins/diamond.gif.
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, Button calls, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, BB calls.

Flop: (6.40 SB) T/images/graemlins/spade.gif, 3/images/graemlins/heart.gif, 9/images/graemlins/diamond.gif <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises</font>, BB folds, <font color="#CC3333">Hero 3-bets</font>, Button calls.

Turn: (6.20 BB) 7/images/graemlins/club.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises</font>, Hero calls.

River: (10.20 BB) K/images/graemlins/heart.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero ......</font>

[baronzeus]

You're likely up against a set. I c/c here.

[DMBFan23]

yeah that turn raise isn't just T9 IMO. and if it is, I'll miss a bet cause I know I ain't never folding to no raise here, even though he should slow down with T9 here. so I also c/call even if it's w/t

[Redd]

[ QUOTE ]
You're likely up against a set. I c/c here.

[/ QUOTE ]

A set of 3s, then? I guess there's still more combinations of 3s hands he'd play than two-pair hands. So I'd c/c too.

[sy_or_bust]

Likely hands for Villain: AT, JT, QJ, 33. I assume he will reraise 77+ and fold T9.

The postflop + Villain's AF make AT/JT/QJ less likely and 33 more likely.

Are you ahead often enough to call a raise? I'm not sure, and I'd rather not find out. I think Villain may bet his entire range here, semi-bluffs and all (AT/JT check behind?), which would make a check/call pretty cool, but this isn't obvious.

[DMBFan23]

one other thing to point out is I have seen villains play QQ-AA this way as well, but I guess I'd need a read to assume that

[adamstewart]

Lead the river, call a raise.

I'm putting villain on something like T,9 or T,7 or a "slow-played overpair" - probably more often than a set or weird straight.

I'd even say you may want to try mixing in the occasional check-raise in this situation. The problem's against check-raising, though, are the the King may be a scare care for him if he was just going ape-sh.it with a paired ten, and he may just end up checking the river through. Alternatively, he may have a set or a weird straight here.


Adam

[jgorham]

I think you have to bet this, and call a raise. I think 2pair is more likely than a set or wonky straight here, and beyond that a lot of players will raise that turn with the intention of taking a free showdown with something like T8.