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View Full Version : KQo on the bubble. Easy fold/push?


Yuv
07-06-2005, 03:20 PM
4 people left, 2-table 33$ SnG. Paying 3 (120, 180, 300).

CO has over 16k chips. I'm on the button with 1300+-, sb has 650+- after posting and BB has 1100+- after posting.

Blinds at 200-400. I'm dealt KQo and the CO makes a rare fold. Should I push? I'm only being called by 22+ and A-x, for sure. BB is a conservative tight player and I think he will fold A2-A9 and maybe 22-66. SB is a loose passive player, and a pretty bad one.

Do I gain anything from pushing here? Even if I steal the blinds, I'm in no position to threaten the chiplead. On the otherhand, I only got 3 orbits left and I can use some breathing room.

What's my play?

tminus
07-06-2005, 03:37 PM
push...like a crack dealer

ZBTHorton
07-06-2005, 03:39 PM
auto push

EnderFFX
07-06-2005, 03:40 PM
auto push

1Winston
07-06-2005, 03:44 PM
It seems like you have thought it out pretty well.... Push

Yuv
07-06-2005, 03:52 PM
But don't I have more to lose here?

If I steal the hand (most likely), I have 1900 chips which isn't enough to call a certain raise from the CO in my next BB. If he calls I know I'm drawing thin.

Basically, the way that this tournament had shapen out (due to an insane suckout by the chipleader, obviously), there was no more play, just a race to rock bottom, which was too late to change.

If I fold, I'm certain the SB is out in the next 3 hands and I gain 120. It feels like i'm risking 120$ to win 60$.

Vee Quiva
07-06-2005, 05:33 PM
If the big stack has any sense at all, he is probably going to the fridge for a coke right about now and letting the 3 short stacks battle it out until he hits the money. Therefore you really only have to worry about the other 2 small stacks. Your hand is an above average holding. That plus a small amount of fold equity makes your hand an automatic push.