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View Full Version : Coin Flip 1st hand of 50+5 SNG?


arod15
07-05-2005, 12:05 AM
Heres the deal. First hand of the tourney i am at the cutoff with AdKd. MP+3 raises to 45 (3xBB) I reraise to 100 then the SB goes all in. The original riaser folds and its to me. Pot size is 1170 and its 900 for me to call. Im getting 1.3-1 odds on what is probably a coinflip as i put the player on JJ-1010 range perhaps QQ. Any comments on a move? Actually outcome to be posted later.

bkbluedevil
07-05-2005, 12:16 AM
If you are sure you are a coinflip and are adequately bankrolled go for it.

RaiNz
07-05-2005, 12:26 AM
What kind of read do you have on villian that narrows him down to 2 holdings? How are you sure you are not up against AA or KK.

bkbluedevil
07-05-2005, 12:30 AM
I think its safe to at skew the percentage away from AA KK for most players. People want action on those hands. Overbetting the pot by going all in over the top isn't exactly consistent with that. I would weight the hands the OP mentions the heaviest for an avg player.

arod15
07-05-2005, 12:40 AM
My reads are two fold. One there would be no reason to go all in with KK or AA here. A reraise is def in order but why go all in? What are you trying to accomplish? Further i looked at my poker prophecy and his rating is really low. He is consider a fish. Based on these two facts i put him on a range def a pocket pair but most likely not AA KK. What would you put him on? Is it only me or does this seem obvious this guy wants me out? Also, with 10,10 JJ qq in the worst postion going all in equalizes the postion problem where as with KK AA its not as much of a problem. Again from thousands of tournaments played not even having poker prophecy i think it is obvious what villian has.

RaiNz
07-05-2005, 12:47 AM
What is poker prophecy?

bkbluedevil
07-05-2005, 12:57 AM
Poker Prophecy (http://www.pokerprophecy.com/)

RaiNz
07-05-2005, 12:58 AM
Thanks. I will have to check it out. I have never heard of it before.

baronzeus
07-05-2005, 12:59 AM
lol...One of my screen names is in the top 50.

The other one has a WR just over 30% /images/graemlins/frown.gif