48 Win% according to prophecy and he does THIS?!?! WTFFF

[Sponger15SB]

NL Hold'em $50 Buy-in + $5 Entry Fee Trny:13463489 Level:9 Blinds(250/500)

Total number of players : 2
Seat 9: Sponger ( $9315 )
Seat 4: docjohnson ( $685 )

Blinds(250/500)

** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to Sponger [ 4s Ad ]
Sponger raises [750].
docjohnson folds.
Sponger does not show cards.
Sponger wins 1500 chips

Folds getting 6.4-1 and only leaving himself with 185 chips?!?!?!?

AHHHHHHHH

[Daliman]

This is clearly a thinly disguised good beat post.

[FatalError]

i've done this before 8 tabling, you just look at a hand real quick and hit check fold without checking stack size

[Moonsugar]

Prophecy is bogus. They got me at 48 too. I wish.

[Voltron87]

how is this not excellent news for mr sponger?

[Newt_Buggs]

lol, I just played a game with this guy and he admited that he wasn't very good


[ QUOTE ]
Prophecy is bogus. They got me at 48 too. I wish.

[/ QUOTE ]
same

[trdi]

Well, it's an easy fold for me. I don't see the problem. When some maniac is attacking your chips all the time, you have to wait for a great hand. /images/graemlins/grin.gif

[Bigwig]

Misclick?

[Sponger15SB]

[ QUOTE ]
how is this not excellent news for mr sponger?

[/ QUOTE ]

Well, it was my only win in 35 tourneys today, so that was pretty cool /images/graemlins/mad.gif

[Sponger15SB]

[ QUOTE ]
Misclick?

[/ QUOTE ]

He actually thought for a while and then typed in the chatbox "this is not a misclick" and then folded...

yeah.

[SumZero]

Maybe he decided that you were someone he was going to play against a bunch later (or he wanted to play against you) and decided that this was a $5 advertising play?

[raptor517]

[ QUOTE ]
Maybe he decided that you were someone he was going to play against a bunch later (or he wanted to play against you) and decided that this was a $5 advertising play?

[/ QUOTE ]

probably like a 10 dollar play, but i highly doubt he is advertising. maybe 1 in 50 times.. holla

[SumZero]

I doubt he's advertising either, but it ought to be less than a $5 play if he is, no?

I know ICM gets weird when you get down below the blinds but 185 chips are worth $151.85 and 1370 chips are worth $162.25. One has to assume that he's got a bad hand and wouldn't be a 50/50 shot even against a random hand. Make him a 60/40 dog. Then the $EV of call is $154.90 and this is a -$3.05 play. Even if you were to make him a 50/50 shot then this is a -$4.28 play. Even if ICM is grossly overestimating the value of 185 chips (and assume they have no value!) then for this to be a -$10 play he'd have to be folding a 82% favorite. If you assume the 185 chips have the extra $1.85 dollars than for -$10 he'd have to be folding a 96 or 97% favorite. And even AA vs. A9o isn't that much of a favorite preflop.

[treeofwisdom7]

ok serious you guys got me . so i have 48% but i thought this was the right play.

[MeanGreenTT]

[ QUOTE ]
ok serious you guys got me . so i have 48% but i thought this was the right play.

[/ QUOTE ]

I PRAY my sarcastic meter is tuned correctly!