99 against possible set

[Falcon900EX]

I had no read on the guy was new on the table.
I think i had to fold on the turn after he capped the flop and lead out on the turn.
What do you think?

Party Poker 2/4 Hold'em (9 handed) converter (http://www.selachian.com/tools/bisonconverter/hhconverter.cgi)

Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with 9/images/graemlins/club.gif, 9/images/graemlins/heart.gif.
UTG calls, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, <font color="#666666">5 folds</font>, SB calls, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, UTG calls.

Flop: (7 SB) 3/images/graemlins/spade.gif, 8/images/graemlins/club.gif, 8/images/graemlins/diamond.gif <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
SB checks, UTG checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">SB raises</font>, UTG folds, <font color="#CC3333">Hero 3-bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">SB caps</font>, Hero calls.

Turn: (7.50 BB) 2/images/graemlins/diamond.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">SB bets</font>, Hero calls.

River: (9.50 BB) 6/images/graemlins/diamond.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">SB bets</font>, Hero calls.

Final Pot: 11.50 BB

Tx

[Nyack]

If I calculated it correctly then you have to be good about 17% of the time to call down from the turn. The flop cap makes me think you're best here a lot less than that so I think this is a turn fold even if you factor in your outs.

[Chairman Wood]

Include reads next time.
Against a usual 2/4 player. Hands that play this way against you are PP greater than 99, 33 or hand that contains an 8. SB c/r is just silly but damn monkey's here think they are tricky and do this all the time. Just costing themselves money. I think a turn fold would do fine.

[crunchy1]

[ QUOTE ]
you have to be good about 17% of the time to call down from the turn.

[/ QUOTE ]
It's probably a little less than that because sometimes you'll hit a 9 on the river and sometimes you'll be able to check behind on the river.

[chief444]

SB probably does have trips or better when he caps. But I'd be tempted to call down here.

I'd just call the flop check/raise and raise the turn though. He's coming out betting on the turn almost always here. If he called the turn raise I'm usually value betting the river. If he 3-bets the turn I'll feel OK folding.