MiguelSanchez
06-20-2005, 06:13 AM
10 player SnG, I'm in the BB (T1000) with 3 players left. I have about 250 chips left after posting.
Chip leader (SB) is way in front, > T6000, while the other guy (Button) has about T2000.
Preflop:
Hero is dealt Q/images/graemlins/spade.gif J/images/graemlins/club.gif. Button goes All-In, SB goes All-In, Hero...?
Obviously the question here is whether folding is +EV in real money. Payout was 25/15/10.
Here's my thinking. If I fold, it's about 50/50 that I end up in second place (Button loses). EV=$2.50. If I call and triple up, I have about T3000 and a decent chance of winning. If I win 1/6 of the time I triple up, EV=$2.50. I think I am better than 5:1 to win if I triple up, based on the play so far. Of course, if I fold but Button wins, (he had been more selective of his hands) then I'm screwed.
I'm not sure about my odds of winning with QJo. My opponents had been pushing with any decent hand (J9o, Q7s).
Chip leader (SB) is way in front, > T6000, while the other guy (Button) has about T2000.
Preflop:
Hero is dealt Q/images/graemlins/spade.gif J/images/graemlins/club.gif. Button goes All-In, SB goes All-In, Hero...?
Obviously the question here is whether folding is +EV in real money. Payout was 25/15/10.
Here's my thinking. If I fold, it's about 50/50 that I end up in second place (Button loses). EV=$2.50. If I call and triple up, I have about T3000 and a decent chance of winning. If I win 1/6 of the time I triple up, EV=$2.50. I think I am better than 5:1 to win if I triple up, based on the play so far. Of course, if I fold but Button wins, (he had been more selective of his hands) then I'm screwed.
I'm not sure about my odds of winning with QJo. My opponents had been pushing with any decent hand (J9o, Q7s).