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View Full Version : Very short stacked, but other two all-in?


MiguelSanchez
06-20-2005, 06:13 AM
10 player SnG, I'm in the BB (T1000) with 3 players left. I have about 250 chips left after posting.

Chip leader (SB) is way in front, > T6000, while the other guy (Button) has about T2000.

Preflop:
Hero is dealt Q/images/graemlins/spade.gif J/images/graemlins/club.gif. Button goes All-In, SB goes All-In, Hero...?

Obviously the question here is whether folding is +EV in real money. Payout was 25/15/10.

Here's my thinking. If I fold, it's about 50/50 that I end up in second place (Button loses). EV=$2.50. If I call and triple up, I have about T3000 and a decent chance of winning. If I win 1/6 of the time I triple up, EV=$2.50. I think I am better than 5:1 to win if I triple up, based on the play so far. Of course, if I fold but Button wins, (he had been more selective of his hands) then I'm screwed.

I'm not sure about my odds of winning with QJo. My opponents had been pushing with any decent hand (J9o, Q7s).

Sabrazack
06-20-2005, 06:43 AM
I think this is an easy fold, QJ is not the kinda hand you want to call two ALL-INs with.

MiguelSanchez
06-20-2005, 06:55 AM
Not even with 10:1 odds?

Swinggcat
06-20-2005, 10:08 AM
It's an easy fold to me. I rather hope that the raiser is busted out, than go all-in with a hand that's probably dominated against 2 opponents. An you will feel very sad if you go all-in, and the SB makes the best hand, as you were the shortest stack at this hand, you will bust in 3rd anyway.

I wouldn't take this risk.