$22 QJs on the bubble

[acIdREIGN462]

NL Hold'em $20 Buy-in + $2 Entry Fee Trny:13161115 Level:6 Blinds(150/300) - Friday, June 17, 00:11:00 EDT 2005
Table Table 13778 (Real Money)
Seat 1 is the button
Total number of players : 4
Seat 9: AWorldOfPain ( $1310 )
Seat 2: Phatboi4lif3 ( $1040 )
Seat 1: spurwingslim ( $1590 )
Seat 3: booger2000 ( $4060 )
Trny:13161115 Level:6
Blinds(150/300)
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to AWorldOfPain [ Qh Js ]
AWorldOfPain is all-In [1310]


good push/bad push?



AcidReign

[lastchance]

Pretty standard.

[acIdREIGN462]

thanks, I wasnt sure how much to hold back against the big stack if any.


AcidReign

[pergesu]

Really? With the rather loose calling standards at the $22s, this is a slightly to clearly -EV push. The only way this push is profitable is if he knows that at least two of the players are playing tighter than normal, and even then it's still really close. I used a calling range of 44+,A7s+,A9o+,KJs+ in SNGPT, which I think is a bit tight for most $22 players, and pushing is -EV. If his hand were actually suited (topic says QJs, hh says QJo), then it would be a slightly +EV push.

[deathpotato]

You have to take into account that he's going into the blinds and is likely going to lose 1/3 of his stack. I push here, but I've been a bit overaggressive of late.

[acIdREIGN462]

sorry, typo in topic, it was QJo

[Lloyd]

I just ran it through the toolbox. I thought it was a pretty standard push as well. It depends upon how tight your opponents are:

All tight: +2.1%
All average: +.9%
All loose: -.2%
All maniacs: -2.3%

Seems like a pretty close decision.

[lastchance]

Right, this is the reason why I push here, though again, need to adapt to my opponent's range. I think I push, though a fold might be in line.