San Antonio vs. Detroit Game 4

[miami32]

Detorit is the fav by 3.5 points. Any suggestions on plays?
I didn't do so well last week. I still don't believe home court was worth a ten point swing last game. I still don't. What are everyone elses thoughts.

[Runner Runner]

This one should be SA-2. SA has significant value at +3.5, 'nuff said.

[allinbaby]

What do you guys think:

10 units@wsex Under 172.5 -110
10 units@pinnacle Ben Wallace Over 2.5 blocks -115
5 units@bodog Antonio McDyess (DET) Ov. 14½ P+R -125
5 units@bodog Bruce Bowen (SAS) Ov. 12½ P+R+A -110

[llabb]

The plays look fine to me, although it's a bit too heavy, depending on what you consider a unit. If 1 unit = 1% of sports betting bankroll, it's too much. But if you like living on the edge, enjoy!

I've won big on Game 1, lost a little on Game 2, and lost most of the rest of the winnings on Game 3, although I'm still up overall.

I like SA and the Under, and will play the same teaser, SA+8 and Under 178 at even money. Will play most of the other props I've discussed previously.

Pretty similar analysis on everything, so nothing really new to report. SA should keep it close or even win, but that seemed to be the case for the last game as well. I've been surprised at the extremely lopsided nature of the results, becoming the 1st finals in history for 3 15+ pt blowouts in a row, but if history wants to screw me, so be it.

Enjoy the game all!

[20Five]

not sure if i like the bowen play /images/graemlins/blush.gif

[llabb]

One more good looking prop. WSEX futures markets, Over/Under game scoring leader at 27.5 pts.

Under. -127 (buy for 56, returns 100 total, for a win of 44) In 7 games, 2 seasons, the over has never happened between these two teams. Which means I'll probably get screwed tonight regardless.

[tech]

[ QUOTE ]
This one should be SA-2.

[/ QUOTE ]

Why?

[allinbaby]

i hate arroyo... his last shot costed me 400 dollars...
0.5 over 172.5... geez..

[mace25]

no.... YOU cost yourself 400 dollars by picking the wrong side.

[humdinger]

don't you understand that it's easier to blame somebody else???

HD

[mace25]

oh yea...... what was i thinking.....

[MookieBlaylock]

[ QUOTE ]
i hate arroyo... his last shot costed me 400 dollars...
0.5 over 172.5... geez..

[/ QUOTE ]

I was thinking the same thing. I guess a 29 point lead wasnt good enough with 15 seconds left...